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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 299.72 | $0.954 | $286.83 | +$0.75 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 8h ago |
 |
| No |
| 542.54 |
| $0.559 |
| $273.98 |
| -$29.52 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 780.75 | $0.346 | $245.94 | -$24.01 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 891.88 | $0.280 | $245.27 | -$4.44 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? | Yes | 249 | $0.930 | $243.65 | +$12.08 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 609.38 | $0.479 | $240.7 | -$51.32 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat? | No | 243 | $0.930 | $237.65 | +$11.66 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | No | 329 | $0.720 | $236.88 | $0 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 173.56 | $0.973 | $172.08 | +$3.21 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.249 | $106.18 | -$205.02 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 192.64 | $0.475 | $99.21 | +$7.77 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10? | Yes | 289.81 | $0.340 | $92.74 | -$5.8 |
 Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | No | 130.17 | $0.757 | $91.77 | -$6.74 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | No | 609.85 | $0.243 | $91.48 | -$56.84 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 299.45 | $0.270 | $85.34 | +$4.48 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? | No | 628 | $0.115 | $81.64 | +$9.73 |
 LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | T1 Academy | 148 | $0.540 | $81.4 | +$1.48 |
 KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz | KT Wiz | 147.36 | $0.508 | $81.05 | +$6.19 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 158.45 | $0.530 | $76.85 | -$7.07 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | No | 79.23 | $0.705 | $67.75 | +$11.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 10? | No | 96 | $0.640 | $62.88 | +$1.44 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 10? | Yes | 127 | $0.430 | $61.6 | +$6.99 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 57.78 | $0.963 | $56.22 | +$0.56 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | No | 156.46 | $0.506 | $53.98 | -$25.14 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 109.21 | $0.590 | $52.97 | -$11.42 |
| sell |
| 171 |
| $0.953 |
| $162.96 |
| 22h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 8?No | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 7?No | sell | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.490 | $3.43 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 6?No | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 6?No | sell | 110 | $0.530 | $58.3 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 6?No | sell | 73 | $0.450 | $32.85 | 3d ago |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.460 | $27.6 | 4d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 5?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.420 | $2.52 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.480 | $3.36 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 11 | $0.370 | $4.07 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 158 | $0.370 | $58.46 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 73 | $0.440 | $32.12 | 4d ago |
 Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.450 | $26.1 | 6d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 80 | $0.220 | $17.6 | 6d ago |
| Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 | sell | 145 | $0.550 | $79.75 | 7d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 1?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.470 | $6.58 | 7d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 1?No | sell | 125 | $0.350 | $43.75 | 8d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 33 | $0.230 | $7.59 | 8d ago |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9 | $0.290 | $2.61 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.490 | $15.68 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 30?No | sell | 80 | $0.440 | $35.2 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 30?No | sell | 106 | $0.460 | $48.76 | 10d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Elusive vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 PlayoffsZomblers | sell | 79 | $0.490 | $38.71 | 11d ago |
| Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group BSTATE | sell | 156 | $0.490 | $76.44 | 11d ago |
 Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-08-27?No | sell | 51 | $0.520 | $26.52 | 12d ago |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 91 | $0.780 | $70.98 | 13d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 27?No | sell | 55 | $0.480 | $26.4 | 13d ago |
 Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under | sell | 150 | $0.460 | $69 | 13d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 26?No | sell | 96 | $0.490 | $47.04 | 13d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 26?No | sell | 204 | $0.510 | $104.04 | 13d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 26?No | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 13d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 26?No | sell | 6 | $0.540 | $3.24 | 13d ago |
 Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?No | sell | 16 | $0.480 | $7.68 | 15d ago |
 Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?No | sell | 124 | $0.400 | $49.6 | 18d ago |
 Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.730 | $5.11 | 18d ago |
| Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | 18d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 22?No | sell | 44 | $0.250 | $11 | 18d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.450 | $14.4 | 18d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 21?Down | sell | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | 18d ago |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?No | sell | 13 | $0.180 | $2.34 | 18d ago |
| Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageHyperSpirit | sell | 72 | $0.360 | $25.92 | 19d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 21?Down | buy | 17 | $0.370 | $6.29 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.690 | $7.59 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 20?No | sell | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 20?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 20d ago |