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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.66K | $0.984 | $4.64K | +$52.34 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 174.21 | $0.981 | $170.9 | 3h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.36K |
| $0.960 |
| $4.23K |
| +$45.7 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.25K | $0.951 | $4.07K | +$26.88 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.83K | $0.984 | $3.8K | +$23.27 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat? | Yes | 3.25K | $0.949 | $3.18K | +$96.74 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat? | Yes | 3.06K | $0.927 | $2.95K | +$108.35 |
 Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.03K | $0.960 | $2.94K | +$31.85 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 3K | $0.960 | $2.93K | +$49.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.965 | $2.89K | -$4.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.965 | $2.89K | -$8.9 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat? | No | 3K | $0.950 | $2.87K | +$15 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.937 | $2.84K | +$25 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat? | Yes | 3K | $0.950 | $2.84K | -$15 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat? | Yes | 2.95K | $0.920 | $2.76K | +$44.26 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 2.78K | $0.961 | $2.75K | +$79.04 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.946 | $2.66K | +$35.95 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2.8K | $0.932 | $2.66K | +$42.36 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat? | Yes | 2.65K | $0.941 | $2.57K | +$80.24 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.823 | $2.57K | +$95 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 2.55K | $0.955 | $2.48K | +$41.7 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat? | No | 2.57K | $0.940 | $2.45K | +$32.18 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.52K | $0.969 | $2.43K | -$8.23 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.07K | $0.960 | $2K | +$16.61 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2K | $0.993 | $1.99K | +$1 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.99K | $0.976 | $1.98K | +$31.84 |
| sell |
| 102.6 |
| $0.985 |
| $101.06 |
| 3h ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.92K | $0.988 | $1.89K | 3h ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | 3h ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 1K | $0.550 | $550 | 4d ago |
 Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.150 | $12 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No | buy | 656.43 | $0.910 | $597.35 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | buy | 603.43 | $0.920 | $555.16 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | 5d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 550.27 | $0.880 | $484.24 | 5d ago |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.150 | $6.75 | 5d ago |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?No | buy | 624.8 | $0.910 | $568.57 | 5d ago |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?No | buy | 950 | $0.920 | $874 | 5d ago |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No | buy | 939.79 | $0.940 | $883.4 | 5d ago |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | 5d ago |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 104.02 | $0.995 | $103.5 | 5d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.994 | $993.99 | 13d ago |
 Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?No | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | 14d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 530 | $0.995 | $527.35 | 14d ago |
 Will Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.890 | $34.23 | 14d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.968 | $96.76 | 14d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 245.57 | $0.986 | $242.13 | 14d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?No | sell | 1K | $0.996 | $996 | 14d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.910 | $273 | 15d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.24 | $0.920 | $14.94 | 15d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | 15d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.947 | $284.23 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.997 | $1.4K | 15d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 185.24 | $0.986 | $182.65 | 15d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.969 | $62.52 | 17d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.969 | $242.25 | 17d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 910.07 | $0.930 | $846.37 | 17d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 516.41 | $0.961 | $496.27 | 20d ago |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.955 | $286.5 | 20d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.260 | $78 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.710 | $710 | 20d ago |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | buy | 90.9 | $0.200 | $18.18 | 20d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.950 | $1.21K | 22d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.946 | $2.63K | 22d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 49.1 | $0.950 | $46.64 | 22d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?No | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | 22d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?No | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | 22d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-01 House seat?No | buy | 1.89K | $0.950 | $1.8K | 22d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.950 | $85.5 | 22d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?Yes | buy | 2.95K | $0.920 | $2.71K | 22d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?No | buy | 697.72 | $0.930 | $648.88 | 22d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.930 | $1.48K | 22d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?No | buy | 899.97 | $0.940 | $845.97 | 22d ago |