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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 166.72 | $0.960 | $161.97 | +$1.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | 2h ago |
|
| No |
| 161.42 |
| $0.991 |
| $160.69 |
| +$0.7 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 52.82 | $0.909 | $49.39 | +$1.39 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 48.73 | $0.985 | $48.38 | +$0.38 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 48.21 | $0.996 | $47.99 | -$0.01 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 56.16 | $0.855 | $46.89 | -$1.11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 9? | Yes | 45.8 | $0.223 | $45.77 | +$35.57 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 41.54 | $0.963 | $40.81 | +$0.81 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 43.01 | $0.930 | $40.65 | +$0.65 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 40.61 | $0.985 | $40.19 | +$0.19 |
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Pacquiao | 80 | $0.500 | $39.6 | -$0.4 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 37.76 | $0.847 | $36.06 | +$4.06 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 33.6 | $0.952 | $32.89 | +$0.89 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 33.88 | $0.944 | $32.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | No | 32.13 | $0.996 | $32.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.92 | $0.943 | $32.05 | +$0.05 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 33.25 | $0.962 | $31.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 34.53 | $0.927 | $31.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 27.64 | $0.868 | $25.65 | +$1.65 |
 Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 25.81 | $0.930 | $24.13 | +$0.13 |
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 24.19 | $0.992 | $23.99 | -$0.01 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.26 | $0.914 | $23.63 | -$0.37 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 26.29 | $0.913 | $22.79 | -$1.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 10? | Yes | 66.08 | $0.121 | $16.52 | +$8.52 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 16.84 | $0.950 | $16.42 | +$0.42 |
| buy |
| 8.03 |
| $0.996 |
| $8 |
| 2h ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | 4h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | 5h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | 5h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 66.08 | $0.121 | $8 | 7h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 26.05 | $0.927 | $24.14 | 7h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 40.5 | $0.198 | $8 | 8h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 24.85 | $0.322 | $8 | 11h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 49.65 | $0.466 | $23.12 | 11h ago |
 Will China’s CPI increase by at least 0.9% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | 11h ago |
| Will China’s CPI increase by at least 0.9% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | 12h ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | 15h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.420 | $8 | 15h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 19.88 | $0.402 | $8 | 15h ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | 16h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 19.51 | $0.410 | $8 | 16h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 31.35 | $0.255 | $8 | 16h ago |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.981 | $8 | 16h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.912 | $8 | 17h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | 18h ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | 18h ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 18h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 18h ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | 19h ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | 19h ago |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.992 | $8 | 23h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | 1d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 165.98 | $0.992 | $164.65 | 1d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | 1d ago |
 Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.982 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.983 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.992 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.992 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.992 | $8 | 1d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.870 | $8 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.994 | $8 | 5d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.870 | $8 | 5d ago |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | 5d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.993 | $8 | 6d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.993 | $8 | 6d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | 6d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.993 | $8 | 6d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | 6d ago |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.46 | $0.946 | $8 | 6d ago |