Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 344.82 | $0.870 | $313.79 | +$13.79 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 45.44 | $0.090 | $4.09 | 14d ago |
 |
| No |
| 352.94 |
| $0.850 |
| $298.23 |
| -$1.76 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 245.83 | $0.630 | $217.56 | +$62.69 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 247.15 | $0.880 | $216.26 | -$1.24 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 228.27 | $0.816 | $192.89 | +$6.66 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 809.15 | $0.273 | $156.98 | -$63.85 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 221.24 | $0.550 | $144.91 | +$23.11 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 234.6 | $0.474 | $139.59 | +$28.3 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 292.86 | $0.380 | $115.68 | +$4.39 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 814 | $0.229 | $109.89 | -$76.4 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 246.87 | $0.340 | $107.39 | +$23.45 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 135.02 | $0.770 | $104.64 | +$0.68 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 268.66 | $0.210 | $52.79 | -$3.52 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 88.88 | $0.580 | $45.77 | -$5.78 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 45.78 | $0.940 | $45.3 | +$2.27 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 47.21 | $0.890 | $41.31 | -$0.71 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 64.87 | $0.398 | $34.71 | +$8.87 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 32.94 | $0.860 | $32.73 | +$4.4 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 32.97 | $0.880 | $28.52 | -$0.49 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 49.62 | $0.700 | $28.04 | -$6.7 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 44.2 | $0.503 | $22.54 | +$0.3 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 18.75 | $0.800 | $17.11 | +$2.11 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 16.05 | $0.847 | $15.68 | +$2.09 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.75 | $0.790 | $15.48 | +$3.04 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 17.14 | $0.890 | $15.34 | +$0.09 |
| buy |
| 17.14 |
| $0.890 |
| $15.25 |
| 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 165.53 | $0.480 | $79.45 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 246.89 | $0.470 | $116.04 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.16 | $0.480 | $3.92 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 80.81 | $0.480 | $38.79 | 14d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 135.02 | $0.770 | $103.97 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.490 | $4.99 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.72 | $0.480 | $2.75 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.81 | $0.480 | $3.75 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 102.08 | $0.480 | $49 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.490 | $4.99 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.480 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.490 | $4.99 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 26.04 | $0.480 | $12.5 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.490 | $4.99 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.480 | $2.44 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.490 | $4.99 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.480 | $15 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.490 | $4.99 | 14d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 66.22 | $0.127 | $8.41 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 52.08 | $0.480 | $25 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 11.25 | $0.740 | $8.33 | 14d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.24 | $0.690 | $5 | 14d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 11.25 | $0.730 | $8.21 | 14d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 102.38 | $0.440 | $45.05 | 15d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 138.37 | $0.575 | $79.56 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.588 | $4.96 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.586 | $4.95 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 10.96 | $0.586 | $6.42 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 99.57 | $0.586 | $58.35 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 10.96 | $0.586 | $6.42 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 343.5 | $0.415 | $142.55 | 15d ago |
 Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Speed | buy | 5.43 | $0.750 | $4.07 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | sell | 82.89 | $0.250 | $20.72 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | buy | 27.57 | $0.760 | $20.95 | 15d ago |
 Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Rocket League?Jynxzi | buy | 9.94 | $0.960 | $9.54 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Rocket League?Jynxzi | buy | 0.54 | $0.590 | $0.32 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | buy | 6.32 | $0.770 | $4.87 | 15d ago |
 Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in FIFA?Speed | buy | 7.04 | $0.700 | $4.93 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in FIFA?Speed | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | buy | 6.84 | $0.720 | $4.92 | 15d ago |
 Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Chess?Jynxzi | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Chess?Jynxzi | buy | 10.31 | $0.980 | $10.1 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | buy | 7.57 | $0.660 | $5 | 15d ago |
 Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Fortnite?Speed | buy | 6.66 | $0.670 | $4.46 | 15d ago |