Latest trade
Oct 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:48 AM UTC.
Analytics
FiscalLiberalSocialConservative has made $652.49 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:48 AM UTC.
$8.96 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 0.0% were buys. They run from Oct 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 160 | $0.033 | $2.08 | -$3.2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 88.88 | $0.450 | $40 | 11d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 13:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 02:48 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 02:48 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 13:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.59K and losing ones cost $942.8 across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $623.38 on “Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?” (Yes); the largest loss, $144.98 on “US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Oct 2026. It has traded 381 markets. Its open positions are worth $6.48 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 61.72 |
| $0.081 |
| $1.57 |
| -$3.43 |
 Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 1.3 | $0.910 | $1.22 | +$0.04 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $0.95 | -$4.05 |
 Theo James announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 275.77 | $0.052 | $0.28 | -$14.06 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 11.35 | $0.038 | $0.25 | -$0.18 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 41.32 | $0.113 | $0.12 | -$4.55 |
| sell |
| 44.2 |
| $0.460 |
| $20.33 |
| 11d ago |
 Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?No | sell | 17.14 | $0.890 | $15.25 | 11d ago |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.77 | $0.940 | $15.76 | 11d ago |
 Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 12.47 | $0.850 | $10.6 | 11d ago |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 16.38 | $0.360 | $5.9 | 11d ago |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 71.3 | $0.230 | $16.4 | 11d ago |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | 11d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 190.57 | $0.060 | $11.43 | 12d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100.63 | $0.870 | $87.55 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 12d ago |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.220 | $3.05 | 13d ago |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 47.21 | $0.890 | $42.02 | 15d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 272.99 | $0.110 | $30.03 | 15d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 201 | $0.110 | $22.11 | 15d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 340.01 | $0.110 | $37.4 | 15d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.500 | $11.36 | 17d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.500 | $4.9 | 17d ago |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.080 | $1.11 | 17d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 6.14 | $0.640 | $3.93 | 18d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.74 | $0.640 | $7.51 | 18d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 5.51 | $0.640 | $3.53 | 18d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.640 | $19.19 | 18d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.870 | $1.05 | 18d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 183.95 | $0.940 | $172.91 | 18d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 4.84 | $0.640 | $3.1 | 18d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 2.67 | $0.940 | $2.51 | 18d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.940 | $2.16 | 18d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 1.76 | $0.940 | $1.65 | 18d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.940 | $1.25 | 18d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.940 | $1.85 | 18d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.940 | $2.8 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 33.97 | $0.870 | $29.55 | 19d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 20.43 | $0.410 | $8.38 | 19d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.032 | $2.29 | 19d ago |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 11.85 | $0.035 | $0.41 | 19d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 143.42 | $0.191 | $27.39 | 19d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.191 | $9.55 | 19d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 52.36 | $0.191 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 19d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 15.87 | $0.940 | $14.92 | 19d ago |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.57 | $0.150 | $1.14 | 19d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 288.86 | $0.350 | $101.1 | 19d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 135.02 | $0.850 | $114.77 | 19d ago |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 18.75 | $0.797 | $14.94 | 19d ago |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.95 | $0.080 | $0.56 | 19d ago |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.92 | $0.130 | $1.16 | 19d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No | sell | 352.94 | $0.930 | $328.23 | 19d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.