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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.772 | $1.92 | +$0.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.930 | $0.03 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.34 |
| $0.470 |
| $1.86 |
| +$0.76 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.83 | $0.600 | $1.71 | +$0.61 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1.6 | $0.686 | $1.52 | +$0.42 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1.51 | $0.730 | $1.44 | +$0.34 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.29 | $0.850 | $1.28 | +$0.18 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.39 | $0.790 | $1.26 | +$0.16 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.25 | +$0.15 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.21 | $0.910 | $1.19 | +$0.08 |
 Waymo IPO before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.900 | $1.18 | +$0.08 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 1.21 | $0.910 | $1.18 | +$0.08 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.18 | +$0.08 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.930 | $1.15 | +$0.05 |
 Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 1.22 | $0.900 | $1.15 | +$0.05 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.930 | $1.14 | +$0.04 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.14 | $0.961 | $1.14 | +$0.04 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 1.17 | $0.943 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
 Obama arrested before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.953 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.12 | $0.978 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.13 | $0.975 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.17 | $0.940 | $1.11 | +$0.01 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1.17 | $0.940 | $1.11 | +$0.01 |
 US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.960 | $1.11 | +$0.01 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.984 | $1.1 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 0.31 |
| $0.996 |
| $0.31 |
| 11d ago |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.910 | $0.01 | 13d ago |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.920 | $0.12 | 13d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.450 | $0.02 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.460 | $0.05 | 18d ago |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.984 | $1.1 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.600 | $1.1 | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.91 | $0.995 | $0.91 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 20?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.940 | $1.1 | 20d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.998 | $0.1 | 21d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.998 | $0.01 | 21d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.998 | $0.01 | 21d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.998 | $0.02 | 22d ago |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.970 | $0.12 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 15?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.610 | $1.1 | 25d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.790 | $1.1 | 27d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.996 | $0.16 | 27d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.950 | $0.47 | 28d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.940 | $0.02 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.940 | $0.08 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.940 | $0.06 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.920 | $0.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.880 | $0.44 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.880 | $0.12 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.958 | $0.13 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.940 | $0.18 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.959 | $0.04 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.975 | $0.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.959 | $0.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.952 | $0.04 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.951 | $0.11 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.930 | $1.1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.910 | $0.53 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.940 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)Michael Oliveira | buy | 1.41 | $0.780 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.998 | $0.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.992 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.470 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.997 | $0.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.997 | $0.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.996 | $0.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.996 | $0.18 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.24 | $0.996 | $0.24 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.996 | $0.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.996 | $0.02 | Jul 29, 2026 |