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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 200 | $0.560 | $137 | +$25 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.381 | $416.86 | Feb 26, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 147.71 |
| $0.266 |
| $123.04 |
| +$83.68 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.969 | $97.7 | +$0.8 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.840 | $93.5 | +$9.5 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | No | 100 | $0.620 | $93 | +$31 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 275.57 | $0.436 | $86.8 | -$33.27 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 68.27 | $0.902 | $63.83 | +$2.22 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 55 | $0.852 | $54.4 | +$7.53 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 63.29 | $0.809 | $52.95 | +$1.74 |
 Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 45.8 | $0.862 | $43.28 | +$3.78 |
 Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 40.69 | $0.784 | $40.06 | +$8.17 |
 Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 40.03 | $0.976 | $39.81 | +$0.74 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 40 | $0.470 | $39.58 | +$20.78 |
 Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 40 | $0.890 | $38.86 | +$3.26 |
 Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.972 | $38.38 | -$0.5 |
 Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.890 | $37.8 | +$2.2 |
 Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 39 | $0.820 | $37.38 | +$5.39 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 35 | $0.160 | $33.85 | +$28.25 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 34.86 | $0.822 | $32.6 | +$3.94 |
 Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.18 | $0.911 | $31.89 | -$5.64 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 150 | $0.733 | $25.05 | -$84.95 |
 Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 25 | $0.974 | $24.68 | +$0.33 |
 Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.84 | $0.833 | $20.82 | -$14.06 |
 Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 20 | $0.520 | $19.84 | +$9.44 |
 Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.810 | $19.72 | +$3.52 |
| buy |
| 603.03 |
| $0.381 |
| $229.7 |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.008 | $0.24 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.227 | $30.7 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.5 | $0.114 | $2.8 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.126 | $22.75 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.030 | $0.74 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Toumani Camara lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.064 | $2.56 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.077 | $7.7 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?No | buy | 25.38 | $0.994 | $25.23 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | buy | 100 | $0.989 | $98.9 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $106 end of November?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.97 | $0.220 | $1.97 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50 | $0.309 | $15.45 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Airbnb (ABNB) close above $120 end of November?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.119 | $11.9 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Infrared launch a token by March 31 2026?No | buy | 95 | $0.370 | $35.15 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets finish with the best record in the NBA?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 20.63 | $0.720 | $14.85 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will 'Zootopia 2' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.9 | $0.290 | $4.32 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No | buy | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will 'Zootopia 2' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.72 | $0.180 | $5.53 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Ausar Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.100 | $0.26 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will James Harden lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes | buy | 17.84 | $0.111 | $1.98 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No | buy | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $108 end of November?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Joe Brady be the next Giants Head Coach?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.169 | $0.85 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?No | buy | 159.03 | $0.130 | $20.67 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Joe Brady be the next Giants Head Coach?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.037 | $0.74 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 74.16 | $0.420 | $31.15 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.350 | $14 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 199.74 | $0.500 | $99.87 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 91.2 | $0.630 | $57.46 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?No | buy | 107.8 | $0.750 | $80.85 | Nov 22, 2025 |