Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.62K | $0.941 | $2.59K | +$130.73 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.82 | $0.989 | $9.71 | 21d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.35K |
| $0.952 |
| $2.27K |
| +$33.76 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.76K | $0.974 | $1.75K | +$34.19 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.73K | $0.930 | $1.64K | +$26.2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.61K | $0.989 | $1.61K | +$11.57 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 1.47K | $0.950 | $1.44K | +$42 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 1.29K | $0.957 | $1.25K | +$18.88 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.03K | $0.925 | $965.84 | +$10.34 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 819.24 | $0.939 | $800.81 | +$31.66 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 686.33 | $0.956 | $679.12 | +$22.87 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 608.58 | $0.974 | $604.93 | +$12.4 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 481.44 | $0.955 | $473.02 | +$13.13 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 312.58 | $0.950 | $292.26 | -$4.69 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 324.98 | $0.663 | $263.23 | +$47.78 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 209.91 | $0.920 | $202.25 | +$9.04 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 202.95 | $0.878 | $191.79 | +$13.58 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 198.27 | $0.901 | $185.38 | +$6.63 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 175.86 | $0.950 | $169.53 | +$2.4 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 171.46 | $0.984 | $169.32 | +$0.68 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 175.08 | $0.930 | $165.45 | +$2.63 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 166.13 | $0.977 | $164.88 | +$2.5 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 126.96 | $0.938 | $121.88 | +$2.77 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 92.91 | $0.898 | $83.62 | +$0.17 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 65.33 | $0.973 | $65 | +$1.44 |
 Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.957 | $63.37 | -$0.42 |
| sell |
| 43.93 |
| $0.760 |
| $33.39 |
| 24d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev | buy | 5.3 | $0.730 | $3.87 | 24d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 24d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.34 | $0.985 | $19.05 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 0.7 | $0.984 | $0.69 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 0.79 | $0.983 | $0.78 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 27.06 | $0.985 | $26.65 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 35.21 | $0.987 | $34.75 | 29d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.61 | $0.930 | $24.75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)Bogdan Grad | buy | 41.09 | $0.590 | $24.24 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.830 | $4.42 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)Steve Erceg | buy | 26.88 | $0.360 | $9.68 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.988 | $80.03 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.943 | $4.72 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | sell | 0.32 | $0.991 | $0.32 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | sell | 6.21 | $0.997 | $6.19 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)Dricus Du Plessis | sell | 35.52 | $0.990 | $35.16 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)Dricus Du Plessis | buy | 0.4 | $0.870 | $0.35 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)Christian Leroy Duncan | buy | 32.04 | $0.780 | $24.99 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.984 | $0.71 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)Chase Hooper | buy | 8.35 | $0.770 | $6.43 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.950 | $5.11 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.977 | $0.12 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | buy | 47.51 | $0.978 | $46.46 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No | buy | 26.26 | $0.985 | $25.87 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 7.93 | $0.742 | $5.88 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.532 | $5.32 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)Daniil Donchenko | buy | 8.7 | $0.820 | $7.13 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)Daniil Donchenko | buy | 5.01 | $0.820 | $4.11 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 29.51 | $0.958 | $28.27 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 41.94 | $0.996 | $41.77 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 12 | $0.923 | $11.08 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 9.77 | $0.921 | $9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.940 | $5.87 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.946 | $5.06 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.946 | $5.22 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.946 | $28.44 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 7.64 | $0.982 | $7.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | sell | 6.87 | $0.967 | $6.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | sell | 6.69 | $0.967 | $6.47 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | sell | 5.39 | $0.967 | $5.21 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)Alex Perez | sell | 8.71 | $0.600 | $5.23 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 38.31 | $0.931 | $35.67 | May 29, 2026 |