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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31? | No | 1.29 | $0.967 | $1.27 | +$0.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.996 | $1.25 | 12h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.28 |
| $0.979 |
| $1.27 |
| +$0.02 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.984 | $1.26 | +$0.01 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 1.3 | $0.962 | $1.26 | +$0.01 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 1.28 | $0.984 | $1.26 | +$0.01 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.33 | $0.940 | $1.26 | +$0.01 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.940 | $1.26 | +$0.01 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.991 | $1.26 | $0 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 1.33 | $0.940 | $1.26 | +$0.01 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3 | $0.964 | $1.25 | -$0 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.950 | $1.25 | -$0.01 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.26 | $0.996 | $1.25 | -$0 |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 1.34 | $0.940 | $1.25 | -$0.01 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.950 | $1.25 | -$0.01 |
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Pacquiao | 2.5 | $0.500 | $1.24 | -$0.01 |
 Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | No | 1.4 | $0.900 | $1.22 | -$0.03 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.31 | $0.960 | $1.22 | -$0.03 |
 Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.940 | $1.16 | -$0.09 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 2.36 | $0.530 | $0.46 | -$0.79 |
| sell |
| 1.27 |
| $0.996 |
| $1.26 |
| 12h ago |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.964 | $1.25 | 7d ago |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.984 | $1.25 | 7d ago |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.962 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.991 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.986 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.994 | $1.26 | 8d ago |
| Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.900 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.980 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | buy | 2.5 | $0.500 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.996 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.992 | $1.24 | 8d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.994 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.994 | $1.24 | 8d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.940 | $1.25 | 9d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in August 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | 9d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in August 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | 10d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.984 | $1.25 | 10d ago |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.981 | $1.25 | 10d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | 10d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.998 | $1.25 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.994 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Denise Gomes | buy | 2.84 | $0.440 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.998 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.991 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.990 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.980 | $1.23 | 11d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.998 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Jingnan Xiong vs. Julia Polastri (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Julia Polastri | buy | 1.84 | $0.680 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)Bilal Hasan | buy | 1.44 | $0.870 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)Cameron Nelson | sell | 2.84 | $0.850 | $2.41 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)Sumudaerji | buy | 1.87 | $0.670 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in August 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.997 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Liu Ce | buy | 1.98 | $0.630 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
 Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.840 | $1.18 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)Umar Nurmagomedov | buy | 1.47 | $0.850 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.997 | $1.24 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)Cameron Nelson | buy | 2.84 | $0.440 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.998 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)Andre Lima | buy | 1.76 | $0.710 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No | sell | 2.4 | $0.730 | $1.75 | 11d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.870 | $1.24 | 11d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas (Flyweight, Prelims)Rei Tsuruya | buy | 1.41 | $0.880 | $1.24 | 11d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.990 | $1.25 | 11d ago |