Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 372.26 | $0.893 | $369.1 | +$36.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 36 | $0.992 | $35.71 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 343 |
| $0.959 |
| $333.57 |
| +$4.79 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 350 | $0.932 | $330.75 | +$4.39 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 328 | $0.983 | $325.87 | +$3.44 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | No | 297 | $0.994 | $296.85 | +$1.66 |
 Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 290 | $0.979 | $289.86 | +$5.89 |
 GTA VI released by October 31? | No | 293.99 | $0.968 | $289.73 | +$5.23 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 290.72 | $0.977 | $288.39 | +$4.47 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 286.25 | $0.994 | $284.96 | +$0.36 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 288 | $0.990 | $284.69 | -$0.54 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 277.11 | $0.985 | $274.06 | +$1.15 |
 Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 289.26 | $0.932 | $271.9 | +$2.17 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 252 | $0.995 | $251.12 | +$0.38 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 252 | $0.992 | $249.86 | -$0.2 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 230 | $0.976 | $228.62 | +$4.18 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 266 | $0.855 | $222.11 | -$5.43 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 241.8 | $0.894 | $217.62 | +$1.4 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 172 | $0.950 | $164.26 | +$0.86 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 170 | $0.942 | $159.29 | -$0.81 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 162.85 | $0.939 | $157.07 | +$4.1 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 129 | $0.940 | $126.29 | +$5.03 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 663 | $0.486 | $102.77 | -$219.44 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 98 | $0.972 | $97.46 | +$2.19 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 100.32 | $0.930 | $95.3 | +$1.95 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 108 | $0.750 | $90.18 | +$9.18 |
| sell |
| 36 |
| $0.996 |
| $35.86 |
| 1d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.992 | $2.03 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.981 | $32.37 | 12d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.983 | $40.3 | 15d ago |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 43 | $0.940 | $40.42 | 16d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 43 | $0.940 | $40.42 | 18d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Gregory Rodrigues | buy | 109 | $0.330 | $35.97 | 18d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.988 | $13.83 | 18d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev | buy | 53 | $0.750 | $39.75 | 25d ago |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.984 | $40.34 | 28d ago |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.952 | $39.98 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 41 | $0.997 | $40.88 | 29d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 284.12 | $0.979 | $278.15 | 29d ago |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.973 | $40.87 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.340 | $5.78 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.890 | $8.01 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.800 | $15.2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 32 | $0.910 | $29.12 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)Mario Bautista | buy | 22 | $0.900 | $19.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson | buy | 7 | $0.893 | $6.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson | buy | 7 | $0.893 | $6.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson | buy | 7 | $0.894 | $6.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson | buy | 7 | $0.894 | $6.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson | buy | 7 | $0.905 | $6.34 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.850 | $5.95 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.850 | $7.65 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.850 | $9.35 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.850 | $11.05 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.870 | $19.14 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.870 | $6.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.880 | $6.16 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.8 | $0.920 | $9.94 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.920 | $13.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.859 | $39.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.850 | $39.1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.929 | $39.95 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.929 | $39.95 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.916 | $39.39 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.927 | $39.86 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?No | buy | 41 | $0.993 | $40.71 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.950 | $16.15 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.950 | $40.85 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No | buy | 41 | $0.988 | $40.51 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No | buy | 41 | $0.962 | $39.44 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No | buy | 41 | $0.985 | $40.38 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No | buy | 41 | $0.984 | $40.34 | Jul 7, 2026 |