Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.596 | $280.5 | +$101.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 220 |
| $0.802 |
| $188.1 |
| +$11.7 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 200 | $0.749 | $174.5 | +$24.7 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.800 | $173 | +$13 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.700 | $170.9 | +$30.9 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.750 | $159 | +$9 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.760 | $156 | +$4 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 200 | $0.770 | $153 | -$1 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 199.99 | $0.890 | $152.7 | -$25.3 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.710 | $149 | +$7 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 200 | $0.770 | $146 | -$8 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.760 | $96.7 | +$20.7 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 100 | $0.796 | $94 | +$14.4 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.842 | $92.85 | +$8.65 |
 Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.790 | $91.05 | +$12.05 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.790 | $89.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.867 | $88.75 | +$2.05 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.818 | $84.7 | +$2.9 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.850 | $84.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.862 | $83.15 | -$3.05 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 99.99 | $0.820 | $82.99 | +$1 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $82.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | No | 95.03 | $0.790 | $82.11 | +$7.03 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.790 | $79.5 | +$0.5 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $79.5 | -$1.5 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.962 |
| $28.86 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.529 | $105.74 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | buy | 40 | $0.969 | $38.76 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | buy | 11.04 | $0.790 | $8.72 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 30 | $0.874 | $26.22 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | buy | 50 | $0.770 | $38.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 20 | $0.869 | $17.38 | Jul 2, 2026 |