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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | No | 25.1 | $0.996 | $25.09 | +$0.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.75 |
| $0.930 |
| $10.51 |
| +$0.51 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5.83 | +$0.83 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5.41 | +$0.41 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 5.75 | $0.869 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 5.43 | $0.921 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.28 | +$0.28 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 5.31 | $0.942 | $5.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | No | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5.07 | +$0.07 |
 GTA VI released by October 31? | No | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 5.3 | $0.944 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? | Yes | 5.29 | $0.945 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 5.68 |
| $0.880 |
| $5 |
| 6d ago |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.985 | $5.02 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will BP be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.966 | $5.08 | 10d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.900 | $5.17 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | 15d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | 17d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)Vitor Petrino | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | 17d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims)Marcio Barbosa | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | 19d ago |
| GTA VI released by October 31?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | 19d ago |
 SHEIN IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | 19d ago |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.940 | $4.99 | 22d ago |
| UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)Joel Álvarez | sell | 6.66 | $0.610 | $4.06 | 24d ago |
 Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | 25d ago |
| UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)Esteban Ribovics | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | 25d ago |
| UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)Joel Álvarez | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | 25d ago |
| Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.945 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.979 | $4.98 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.940 | $5.27 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Bruno Lopes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)Quillan Salkilld | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Carol Foro | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Darren Elkins vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)Yadier del Valle | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims)Ty Miller | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.979 | $5.12 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.986 | $5.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.940 | $5.22 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.730 | $7.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.880 | $5.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.944 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |