Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.04 | $0.850 | $9.96 | +$1.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.48 |
| $0.900 |
| $5.36 |
| +$0.43 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 4.99 | $0.921 | $4.84 | +$0.24 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 4.19 | $0.940 | $3.92 | -$0.02 |
 Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.36 | $0.920 | $2.23 | +$0.06 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 1.09 | $0.921 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.039 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.49 | $0.960 | $0.47 | +$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
| sell |
| 1.06 |
| $0.940 |
| $1 |
| 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.870 | $0.95 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.12 | $0.950 | $3.91 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.960 | $3.42 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.63 | $0.940 | $6.23 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 5.38 | $0.951 | $5.12 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.500 | $2.44 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 4.26 | $0.910 | $3.88 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 6.59 | $0.350 | $2.31 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.920 | $2.17 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)Mario Bautista | buy | 4.04 | $0.910 | $3.68 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)Adrian Yanez | buy | 4.28 | $0.780 | $3.34 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Robert Whittaker | sell | 4.25 | $0.530 | $2.25 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Loneer Kavanagh | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.940 | $1.97 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.940 | $1.97 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Robert Whittaker | buy | 2.13 | $0.550 | $1.17 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Robert Whittaker | buy | 2.13 | $0.550 | $1.17 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)Alessandro Costa | buy | 2.1 | $0.700 | $1.47 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)Alessandro Costa | buy | 3.17 | $0.700 | $2.22 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Loneer Kavanagh | buy | 5.79 | $0.670 | $3.88 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No | sell | 3.51 | $0.920 | $3.23 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)Luke Riley | buy | 6.35 | $0.720 | $4.57 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.860 | $1.73 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.14 | $0.497 | $2.06 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.94 | $0.497 | $1.96 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Jason Kelce be a groomsman at Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.980 | $3.34 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 4.87 | $0.967 | $4.71 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | Jul 4, 2026 |