Analytics
Resolved Alessandro Costa on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alessandro Costa at 67.5%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 32.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 7 Jul 2026. $251.55K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 9:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 11 Jul 2026, chart shows 24%–36%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 30.5% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Cody Durden | 120.45K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Cody Durden | 30.3K |
| 0x0A77exmm | Cody Durden | 7.4K |
| morpheus23 | Cody Durden | 7.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Cody Durden" if Cody Durden is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alessandro Costa at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Alessandro Costa" if Alessandro Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cod2-ale35-2026-07-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| dex57 | Cody Durden | 5.19K |
| comon119 | Cody Durden | 5K |
| exploitmaxxer | Cody Durden | 4.5K |
| sentrio | Cody Durden | 4.04K |
| timezonewarrior | Cody Durden | 2.41K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Cody Durden | 2.15K |
