Analytics
Yes is at 2.8%, down 32 points from 35% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
Across the 326 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 25 Oct 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 17 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.8%; a month before, 2.8%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 34.4% on 5 Jul 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$23.73K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $17.89K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 410 trades, $472.39 bought Yes and $8.44K bought No; the largest was a $1.11K buy of No at 93.9¢.
The largest Yes position is BUAIIV with 3.3K shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 2K. Ten wallets hold 82.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 10:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 326 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 35.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 2.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BUAIIV | Yes | 3.33K |
| elmcap2 | No | 1.97K |
| VegemiteLover | No | 1.69K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| allenzzz |
| No |
| 624.34 |
| 42021 | Yes | 498.94 |
| Indigo Pioneer B7DA | Yes | 466.82 |
| hardcoreust | Yes | 415.79 |
| Lurki | Yes | 346.22 |
| KingZeManel | No | 294.74 |
| Steveohm | No | 213.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
