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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 700 | $0.880 | $687.05 | +$71.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 260 | $0.760 | $197.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
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| No |
| 625.55 |
| $0.918 |
| $615.85 |
| +$41.6 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.710 | $382 | +$98 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 354.82 | $0.941 | $346.13 | +$12.4 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 320.86 | $0.935 | $311.07 | +$11.07 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.620 | $280.5 | +$94.5 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 260 | $0.760 | $222.3 | +$24.7 |
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | No | 213.98 | $0.935 | $208.2 | +$8.2 |
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.850 | $196 | +$26 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.890 | $195.1 | +$17.1 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.885 | $192.3 | +$15.3 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.760 | $155 | +$3 |
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | No | 136.74 | $0.921 | $130.39 | +$4.39 |
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 117.85 | $0.897 | $113.61 | +$7.89 |
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $97.75 | +$2.75 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 99.99 | $0.818 | $96.84 | +$15.05 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $92.75 | +$9.75 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.946 | $92.2 | -$2.4 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | No | 20.1 | $0.910 | $19.23 | +$0.93 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 27.24 | $0.420 | $17.3 | +$5.86 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.09 | $0.710 | $9.64 | +$2.47 |
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.018 | $0.5 | -$8.5 |
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.004 | $0 | -$0.02 |
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.005 | $0 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 2K |
| $0.910 |
| $1.82K |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?No | sell | 765.61 | $0.930 | $712.02 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 560 | $0.983 | $550.72 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.979 | $1.56K | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 12.82K | $0.850 | $10.9K | Jun 5, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 320.86 | $0.935 | $300 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.450 | $180 | May 29, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.760 | $6.46 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.530 | $265 | Mar 8, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.570 | $284.99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No | buy | 226.15 | $0.884 | $200 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 294.34 | $0.679 | $200 | Mar 8, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 201.24 | $0.809 | $162.75 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.035 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.034 | $75 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 285.5 | $0.587 | $167.67 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | buy | 166.69 | $0.960 | $160.02 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.170 | $190 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.170 | $238 | Mar 5, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.650 | $6.63 | Mar 5, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 368.1 | $0.939 | $345.65 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.630 | $126 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 285.51 | $0.350 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 591.89 | $0.169 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.166 | $1.03 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.220 | $132 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.181 | $90.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.024 | $4.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | buy | 400 | $0.970 | $388 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 21.79 | $0.711 | $15.49 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 100 | $0.946 | $94.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 419.53 | $0.530 | $222.17 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.832 | $33.28 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.818 | $20.45 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 320 | $0.940 | $300.8 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.177 | $177.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 215.62 | $0.840 | $181.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.941 | $56.46 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.560 | $224 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.570 | $228 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 128.87 | $0.885 | $114.05 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.780 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |