Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 50 points from 50% when the market opened on 14 Oct 2025.
Across the 351 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 14 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 1.6% on 15 Oct 2025.
Richard Grayson ranks fifth of the 7 outcomes in “Alaska Senate Election Winner”. Mary Peltola leads at 69.5%; Sen. Dan Sullivan is at 30.5%.
$24.86K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $71.67K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 307 trades, $23.44 bought Yes and $11.5K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Fearless-Misnomer with 9.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 93.2K. Ten wallets hold 80.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 351 points, 14 Oct 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 93.2K |
| Fearless-Misnomer | Yes | 9.83K |
| aHjCz | Yes | 8.4K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner
| Classic-Loggia |
| Yes |
| 7.09K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 6.76K |
| WarriorH | Yes | 6.47K |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 5.79K |
| 0xdc3E831cad | Yes | 5K |
| donthackme | Yes | 4.66K |
| korda77 | Yes | 3.66K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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