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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 55.43K | $0.664 | $44.62K | +$7.8K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.070 | $74.2 | 39m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 30K |
| $0.448 |
| $15.75K |
| +$2.31K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 29.67K | $0.344 | $13.6K | +$3.4K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 72.32K | $0.170 | $10.49K | -$1.81K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 9.02K | $0.964 | $8.93K | +$238.06 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 10.04K | $0.703 | $7.28K | +$217.1 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 50.1K | $0.162 | $7.26K | -$833.98 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 9.45K | $0.666 | $7.04K | +$746.9 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 6.23K | $0.953 | $6.05K | +$112.13 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.04K | $0.719 | $5.46K | +$394.13 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 10K | $0.485 | $5.05K | +$202.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 10K | $0.517 | $4.95K | -$220.67 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.76K | $0.820 | $4.93K | +$201.62 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 5K | $0.626 | $4.18K | +$1.04K |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 5K | $0.373 | $3.93K | +$2.06K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7K | $0.571 | $3.68K | -$325 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 5.3K | $0.603 | $3.63K | +$435.43 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.95K | $0.928 | $2.76K | +$20.87 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.01K | $0.264 | $2.7K | -$467.61 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 3.94K | $0.634 | $2.62K | +$120.2 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | No | 2.46K | $0.925 | $2.41K | +$134.86 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | No | 3.52K | $0.585 | $2.15K | +$88.96 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | No | 2.1K | $0.796 | $2.01K | +$343.08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 24.08K | $0.093 | $1.81K | -$424.78 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 12.69K | $0.170 | $1.78K | -$386.51 |
| buy |
| 1.1K |
| $0.292 |
| $322.28 |
| 52m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.219 | $357.94 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.615 | $643.84 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 881.66 | $0.601 | $529.81 | 1h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.350 | $350 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 634.5 | $0.691 | $438.31 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.714 | $128.6 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 84.99 | $0.560 | $47.59 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.81K | $0.359 | $1.01K | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.470 | $688.79 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.350 | $1.05K | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.968 | $1.35K | 2h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 867 | $0.070 | $60.69 | 5h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.253 | $320.93 | 8h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10.2K | $0.810 | $8.26K | 9h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | sell | 8K | $0.140 | $1.12K | 9h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2.31K | $0.810 | $1.87K | 9h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 297 | $0.830 | $246.41 | 9h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 5.34K | $0.802 | $4.29K | 9h ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 6.65K | $0.043 | $285.61 | 15h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 8K | $0.070 | $560 | 15h ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.130 | $208.6 | 17h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.235 | $234.81 | 17h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 400 | $0.520 | $208 | 1d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.23K | $0.520 | $1.16K | 1d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.05K | $0.460 | $4.62K | 1d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 6.52K | $0.878 | $5.73K | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 688.09 | $0.237 | $163.16 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 236.01 | $0.369 | $87.1 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 638.35 | $0.848 | $541.01 | 1d ago |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.800 | $112 | 1d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.046 | $70.16 | 1d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.48K | $0.290 | $428.91 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.270 | $216 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.700 | $6.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 215.3 | $0.690 | $148.56 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.45K | $0.963 | $3.32K | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.470 | $4.7K | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 59.68 | $0.330 | $19.69 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 940.57 | $0.286 | $268.54 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.671 | $814.27 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 3.84K | $0.880 | $3.38K | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 405.04 | $0.080 | $32.4 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | buy | 579.64 | $0.160 | $92.74 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 350.16 | $0.080 | $28.01 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 4K | $0.346 | $1.38K | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 3.97K | $0.779 | $3.09K | 1d ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.257 | $1.29 | 1d ago |