Analytics
Fearless-Misnomer has made $133.22K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 50.96K | $0.591 | $32.36K | +$2.26K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 18:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 18:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 18:51 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 18:28 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $420.5K and losing ones cost $192.62K across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $58.88K on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $29.5K on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No).
It has traded 563 markets. Its open positions are worth $169.14K across 79 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 34.81K |
| $0.568 |
| $23.15K |
| +$3.37K |
 Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 30K | $0.697 | $20.85K | -$49.89 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 15.69K | $0.713 | $14.3K | +$3.12K |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 35.76K | $0.258 | $7.69K | -$1.53K |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.9K | $0.668 | $7.44K | -$516.55 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 38.23K | $0.200 | $6.27K | -$1.39K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 29.63K | $0.207 | $4.89K | -$1.26K |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 10.13K | $0.545 | $4.76K | -$758.26 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 10K | $0.482 | $4.68K | -$136.32 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.66K | $0.472 | $3.26K | -$361.24 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.76K | $0.650 | $3.09K | $0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20K | $0.120 | $2.9K | +$493.84 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 16.14K | $0.156 | $2.82K | +$305.23 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6K | $0.470 | $2.55K | -$270 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 5.35K | $0.317 | $2.25K | +$550.83 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 35K | $0.056 | $2.1K | +$131.28 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 15K | $0.130 | $2.02K | +$75 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 50.85K | $0.112 | $1.98K | -$3.7K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.28K | $0.290 | $1.95K | -$455.56 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 12K | $0.195 | $1.62K | -$719.96 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.92K | $0.694 | $1.49K | +$164.19 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | Yes | 15K | $0.051 | $1.47K | +$705 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? | Yes | 12.97K | $0.100 | $1.36K | +$64.83 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.06K | $0.104 | $1.18K | +$550.52 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
