Analytics
Yes is at 3%, down 10 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 26 Jul 2025.
Across the 428 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23.5% on 29 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 23 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.1%; a month before, 1.7%. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 21.5% on 15 Nov 2025.
December 31, 2026 ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Will Trump be impeached by...?”. December 31, 2027 leads at 64.5%; June 30, 2027 is at 46.5%.
$3.46K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.07M since listing. The order book holds $120.47K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $805.41 bought Yes and $5.38K bought No; the largest was a $2.64K buy of No at 98.4¢.
The largest Yes position is Genuine-Ecliptic with 11.2K shares; the largest No position is allenzzz with 42.6K. Ten wallets hold 47.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 428 points, 26 Jul 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | 13.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| allenzzz | No | 42.59K |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | No | 28.69K |
| elmcap2 | No | 21.12K |
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026
| Well-Documented-Jeep |
| No |
| 12.49K |
| Genuine-Ecliptic | Yes | 11.22K |
| Vegeta84 | Yes | 9.54K |
| Utilized-Pinto | Yes | 8.5K |
| WhateverDude | Yes | 8.33K |
| Debosnys | No | 5.52K |
| votve | Yes | 5.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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