Analytics
Yes is at 44%, down 6.5 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 16 Sep 2026.
Across the 35 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 29 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 64.5%; a month before, 41.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 32.5% on 29 Sep 2026.
June 30, 2027 ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “Will Trump be impeached by...?”. December 31, 2027 leads at 67%; December 31, 2026 is at 2.1%.
$93.99 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.62K since listing. The order book holds $7.2K, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $730.5 bought Yes and $244.06 bought No.
The largest Yes position is cezarn132 with 673 shares; the largest No position is 0xdc3E831cad with 242. Ten wallets hold 88% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 10:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 16 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | 50.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 44.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cezarn132 | Yes | 672.98 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 241.77 |
| newnewuser | No | 161.09 |
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026
| Debosnys |
| No |
| 110 |
| lucid-NEXUS-amused | No | 100 |
| AJSV | Yes | 98.69 |
| Letsgetrich1831 | Yes | 71.43 |
| 2B9S | No | 70.58 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 60 |
| leectram2 | No | 52.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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