Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 34.17K | $0.823 | $29.22K | +$1.09K |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.960 | $1.16K | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 24.31K |
| $0.995 |
| $24.2K |
| +$1.07 |
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 7.01K | $0.989 | $6.96K | +$22.54 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 6.48K | $0.919 | $6.05K | +$106.02 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 4K | $0.962 | $3.85K | +$2 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3.67K | $0.853 | $3.4K | +$277.83 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.37K | $0.990 | $3.34K | +$6.21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.56K | $0.700 | $2.58K | -$1.31K |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.86K | $0.610 | $1.87K | +$128.43 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.930 | $1.87K | +$10 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.35K | $0.984 | $1.34K | +$12.81 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.36K | $0.940 | $1.29K | +$6.81 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.954 | $1.2K | +$21.59 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 1.21K | $0.960 | $1.16K | -$4.84 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.04K | $0.926 | $965.7 | -$0.78 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 711.15 | $0.851 | $650.7 | +$45.78 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 615.03 | $0.993 | $611.95 | +$1.23 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 436.99 | $0.956 | $410.56 | -$7.08 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 400 | $0.984 | $396.4 | +$3 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1.77K | $0.923 | $380.21 | -$1.25K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.885 | $374 | +$20 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 2.08K | $0.160 | $333.05 | $0 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 402.25 | $0.780 | $311.74 | -$2.01 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 322.99 | $0.850 | $276.16 | +$1.61 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 222 | $0.974 | $218.12 | +$1.89 |
| buy |
| 9.93 |
| $0.998 |
| $9.91 |
| 1d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.160 | $333.05 | 4d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 818.97 | $0.990 | $810.78 | 4d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 21.93K | $0.830 | $18.2K | 7d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 170 | $0.997 | $169.49 | 13d ago |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.410 | $799.66 | 21d ago |
 Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 545.16 | $0.990 | $539.71 | 21d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.046 | $2.76 | 24d ago |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 387.2 | $0.040 | $15.38 | 24d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | sell | 156.24 | $0.930 | $145.3 | 24d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 402.25 | $0.780 | $313.76 | 24d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | 24d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.89K | $0.977 | $5.76K | 24d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.7K | $0.992 | $2.67K | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 8.92K | $0.991 | $8.84K | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 96.25 | $0.990 | $95.29 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 106.24 | $0.900 | $95.62 | 25d ago |
 Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | 26d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.940 | $1.28K | 26d ago |
 Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.896 | $59.14 | 26d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.67K | $0.990 | $39.27K | 26d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 459.16 | $0.840 | $385.69 | 26d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 155 | $0.920 | $142.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 4.2K | $0.920 | $3.86K | Aug 6, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.999 | $62.44 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.560 | $16.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 5.56K | $0.999 | $5.55K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.995 | $497.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 83.63 | $0.995 | $83.21 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 513.97 | $0.995 | $511.4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.350 | $707.42 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 81.93 | $0.329 | $26.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.900 | $108 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 505.89 | $0.915 | $462.82 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 904.99 | $0.380 | $343.9 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.403 | $2.02 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.960 | $27.84 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.957 | $22.97 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 338.84 | $0.600 | $203.27 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 142.49 | $0.598 | $85.21 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.609 | $64.07 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.930 | $967.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.9 | $0.930 | $27.81 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 11.11K | $0.999 | $11.1K | Jul 31, 2026 |