Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | No | 748.08 | $0.871 | $721.53 | +$70.03 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?No | buy | 566.59 | $0.882 | $500 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 420 |
| $0.880 |
| $392.7 |
| +$23.1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.880 | $294.75 | +$30.75 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 259.03 | $0.907 | $250.87 | +$15.87 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 218.1 | $0.917 | $209.71 | +$9.71 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.13K | $0.016 | $95.31 | +$45.31 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 66.67 | $0.900 | $61.67 | +$1.67 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.22 | $0.900 | $21.72 | +$1.72 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | No | 18.6 | $0.860 | $18.06 | +$2.06 |
| sell |
| 309.27 |
| $0.997 |
| $308.34 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 220 | $0.995 | $218.9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Tucker Carlson federally charged?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.989 | $10.86 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 103.38 | $0.999 | $103.28 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No | buy | 18.6 | $0.860 | $16 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.625 | $15 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | sell | 18.07 | $0.991 | $17.91 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 782.63 | $0.985 | $770.89 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 27.17 | $0.920 | $25 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 97.4 | $0.154 | $15 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?No | buy | 31.49 | $0.953 | $30 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.930 | $15 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?No | buy | 20.48 | $0.830 | $17 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.720 | $16 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 25.92 | $0.463 | $12 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 22.78 | $0.790 | $18 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.200 | $7.5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?No | buy | 43.75 | $0.800 | $35 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Tucker Carlson federally charged?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.967 | $193.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 20.05 | $0.748 | $15 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 242.36 | $0.908 | $220 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 52.88 | $0.946 | $50 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.320 | $12 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 27.47 | $0.910 | $25 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.770 | $11.55 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.370 | $19.98 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.461 | $18.44 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?No | sell | 16.58 | $0.996 | $16.51 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.470 | $6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?No | buy | 16.59 | $0.904 | $15 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 52.19 | $0.958 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 36.94 | $0.820 | $30.29 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |