Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 24.5% on 27 Mar 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 24.5% on 27 Mar 2026. $117.84K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Brokie | Yes | 999.99 |
| Newshound | Yes | 453.22 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| markb0t11 | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-march-31
| 5atka | Yes | 200 |
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 132.01 |
| elmana | Yes | 105 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 102.76 |
| crazyit | Yes | 99.99 |
| Lost-Antelope | Yes | 86.81 |
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