Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 200 | $0.530 | $107 | +$1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.470 | $37.6 | 4h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 152.42 |
| $0.476 |
| $79.26 |
| +$6.63 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.775 | $76.5 | -$1.02 |
 Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.790 | $76 | -$3 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.670 | $69.49 | +$2.5 |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 85 | $0.775 | $64.3 | -$1.61 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 100 | $0.540 | $54.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 96.08 | $0.440 | $45.64 | +$3.36 |
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD? | AfD | 60 | $0.750 | $45.6 | +$0.6 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 100 | $0.412 | $45 | +$3.83 |
| Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes? | No | 50 | $0.770 | $38.75 | +$0.25 |
| Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 150 | $0.210 | $31.5 | $0 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.330 | $29.5 | -$3.5 |
| Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.570 | $27.75 | -$0.75 |
| Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 168.65 | $0.105 | $24.45 | +$6.78 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 25 | $0.858 | $21.63 | +$0.18 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 76.29 | $0.266 | $19.45 | -$0.84 |
 Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? | Up | 20 | $0.890 | $19 | +$1.2 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 23.99 | $0.351 | $14.51 | +$6.08 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | No | 20 | $0.511 | $11 | +$0.77 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.855 | $8.35 | -$0.2 |
| Will AfD win 23-25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 188.16 | $0.014 | $5.74 | +$3.05 |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 74.99 | $0.100 | $2.17 | -$5.32 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 5 | $0.371 | $1.93 | +$0.07 |
 Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.009 | $1.7 | +$0.78 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.250 |
| $2.5 |
| 8h ago |
| Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | 8h ago |
| Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | 8h ago |
| Will AfD win 23-25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 88.17 | $0.015 | $1.29 | 8h ago |
| Will AfD win 23-25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.014 | $1.4 | 8h ago |
| Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 68.65 | $0.090 | $6.18 | 8h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | 12h ago |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 15 | $0.796 | $11.94 | 13h ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 13h ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.480 | $3.36 | 19h ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | buy | 129.91 | $0.430 | $55.86 | 20h ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | 20h ago |
| Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | 20h ago |
| Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | 20h ago |
| Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?Up | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 21h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 1d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 77.14 | $0.440 | $33.94 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 95 | $0.680 | $64.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.650 | $9.76 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.670 | $6.69 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | 1d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 176.01 | $0.555 | $97.6 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | 2d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.410 | $24.6 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.008 | $1.44 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.771 | $38.53 | 2d ago |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | 3d ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?AfD | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | 3d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.402 | $44.64 | 3d ago |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | 3d ago |
 Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.999 | $48.95 | 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?Grüne | sell | 20.04 | $0.999 | $20.02 | 3d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.330 | $36.71 | 3d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 869.74 | $0.354 | $307.76 | 3d ago |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 104.99 | $0.150 | $15.75 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 103.49 | $0.050 | $5.16 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 490 | $0.100 | $49 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | sell | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | 3d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | sell | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 3d ago |
| Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.890 | $4.6 | 3d ago |
 Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | 3d ago |