Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10 | $0.551 | $5.45 | -$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.535 |
| $4.98 |
| +$2.31 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.510 | $4.98 | +$2.43 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.620 | $4.93 | +$1.83 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.543 | $4.84 | +$2.13 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? | No | 5 | $0.317 | $4.84 | +$3.26 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.87 | $0.589 | $4.74 | +$1.87 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.425 | $4.55 | +$0.3 |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? | Yes | 5 | $0.510 | $3.83 | +$1.28 |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 5 | $0.652 | $3.18 | -$0.09 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.8 | $0.522 | $2.78 | +$1.32 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 5 | $0.535 | $2.33 | -$0.35 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 5 | $0.330 | $1.83 | +$0.18 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? | No | 5 | $0.550 | $1.18 | -$1.58 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 2.1 | $0.453 | $1.12 | +$0.17 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5 | $0.350 | $1.05 | -$0.7 |
| Will the Detroit Tigers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 5 | $0.689 | $0.16 | -$3.29 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 5 | $0.451 | $0.16 | -$2.1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.401 | $0.14 | -$1.87 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.260 | $0.05 | -$1.25 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.479 | $0.04 | -$2.36 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.480 | $0.02 | -$2.38 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.550 |
| $2.75 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 0.3 | $0.430 | $0.13 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 0.74 | $0.441 | $0.33 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.441 | $2.21 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Tigers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?No | buy | 5 | $0.317 | $1.59 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?No | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.358 | $1.19 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.358 | $1.79 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.330 | $0.66 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jul 14, 2026 |