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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 6.99K | $0.984 | $6.96K | +$77.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.32K | $0.570 | $752.4 | 16m ago |
 |
| No |
| 6.74K |
| $0.890 |
| $6.24K |
| +$235.96 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 5.78K | $0.972 | $5.76K | +$139.72 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 4K | $0.849 | $3.42K | +$24.21 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 5.24K | $0.392 | $2.8K | +$751.62 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.79K | $0.880 | $2.3K | -$153.29 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 2.2K | $0.930 | $2.16K | +$113.3 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 2.74K | $0.792 | $2.15K | -$20.27 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.2K | $0.910 | $2.06K | +$54.97 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.36K | $0.890 | $2.04K | -$59.07 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.77K | $0.969 | $1.75K | +$41.55 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 11K | $0.140 | $1.59K | +$55 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.55K | $0.958 | $1.53K | +$46.82 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.45K | $0.500 | $1.24K | +$12.24 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 1.26K | $0.950 | $1.21K | +$11.95 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 2.46K | $0.512 | $1.17K | -$90.54 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.32K | $0.840 | $1.13K | +$19.8 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.98K | $0.373 | $852.97 | -$2.5K |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 927.2 | $0.840 | $802.03 | +$23.18 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 750 | $0.870 | $663.75 | +$11.25 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 956.59 | $0.666 | $626.56 | -$11.07 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 920.49 | $0.774 | $528.36 | -$183.74 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.04K | $0.070 | $522.6 | -$40.2 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 491 | $0.870 | $459.09 | +$31.92 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 6.6K | $0.070 | $429 | -$33 |
| sell |
| 11 |
| $0.780 |
| $8.58 |
| 24m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.530 | $5.47 | 52m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 22 | $0.525 | $11.56 | 52m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 247.29 | $0.420 | $103.86 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 67.75 | $0.580 | $39.29 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 66.59 | $0.360 | $23.97 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 113.54 | $0.350 | $39.74 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.340 | $2.3 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 8.14 | $0.420 | $3.42 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 35.2 | $0.390 | $13.73 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.390 | $17.16 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 87.95 | $0.420 | $36.94 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 122.04 | $0.420 | $51.26 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 222.27 | $0.469 | $104.24 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 174.89 | $0.449 | $78.56 | 11h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 660 | $0.800 | $528 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.420 | $18.48 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.630 | $138.6 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 70.11 | $0.640 | $44.87 | 11h ago |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 52.68 | $0.669 | $35.24 | 12h ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.62 | $0.650 | $10.15 | 12h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 167.48 | $0.130 | $21.77 | 12h ago |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.980 | $21.56 | 14h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.17 | $0.976 | $25.54 | 15h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 16h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 17.59 | $0.740 | $13.02 | 17h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.62 | $0.950 | $15.79 | 18h ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 473.14 | $0.700 | $331.2 | 19h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?No | sell | 48.39 | $0.972 | $47.04 | 19h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.29 | $0.930 | $8.64 | 20h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.930 | $20.46 | 20h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.910 | $20.02 | 20h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.220 | $7.26 | 21h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.840 | $1.11K | 22h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 512.76 | $0.160 | $82.04 | 22h ago |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 28.32 | $0.770 | $21.81 | 1d ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 551.52 | $0.930 | $512.91 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.56 | $0.172 | $5.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.16 | $0.277 | $6.14 | 1d ago |
 Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List?No | buy | 22 | $0.990 | $21.78 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.620 | $27.28 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 551.53 | $0.930 | $512.92 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.070 | $0.28 | 1d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 44.89 | $0.850 | $38.16 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.850 | $18.7 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.090 | $19.8 | 1d ago |