What is the “Blue wave in 2026?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Blue wave in 2026? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 87.0¢ and No at 13.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 87.0% for Yes and 13.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 5, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats have a seat count of 218 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 49 or more in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($16.66) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($13.92K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 151 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 50.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 29, 9:09 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/blue-wave-in-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Blue wave in 2026? Polymarket Odds

Market referenceblue-wave-in-2026Updated just now

politicsActive

Closes Jan 5, 2027 UTCpoliticscongress

Yes

87.0%

13.0%

Buy Yes 87¢Buy No 13¢

24h Volume

$17

Liquidity

$13.9K

Closes

Jan 5, 2027 UTC

Yes price

87¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

87.0%

13.0%

24h volume

$16.66

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 87¢

Open in terminal$16.66 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

1m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

2.0%

Observed

just now

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

87.0%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

151

Wallets

151

Top 10 share

51%

Yes / No shares

14.41K / 14.4K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

190

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
pyoi	No	3.41K	15.8%	$3.41K	Sep 28, 12:23 PM UTC
Voland6777	Yes	2.31K	85.2%	$2.31K	Sep 20, 4:41 AM UTC

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

2026 US Midterms oddsWho will control Congress after the 2026 midterms?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Blue wave in 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Blue wave in 2026? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 87.0¢ and No at 13.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 87.0% for Yes and 13.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 5, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats have a seat count of 218 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 49 or more in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($16.66) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($13.92K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

pyoi

3.41K

15.8%

$3.41K

Sep 28, 12:23 PM UTC

Voland6777

Yes

2.31K

85.2%

$2.31K

Sep 20, 4:41 AM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
Voland6777	$2.01K
ocpna	$1.88K
Crimson Scout DF5C	$1.05K
lava-lava	$809.09
zerosmart	$800.39
randomWalkingShrimp	$639.45
Zarshka	$608.99
ProfessionalPunter	$598.38
SitsToPee	$533.5
ReCoPM	$463.59
pyoi	$443.89
IV7	$391.25