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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | No | 4.92 | $0.450 | $2.83 | +$0.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.018 | $0.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.54 |
| $0.180 |
| $1.93 |
| +$1.29 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 2.67 | $0.160 | $1.8 | +$1.38 |
 Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027? | No | 4 | $0.330 | $1.78 | +$0.46 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.66 | $0.379 | $1.57 | +$0.94 |
 Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.360 | $1.25 | -$2.35 |
 Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.62 | $0.470 | $1.1 | -$0.13 |
 Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 24.86 | $0.047 | $1.03 | -$0.14 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.430 | $1.02 | +$0.47 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.93 | $0.270 | $0.55 | +$0.3 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | No | 2.07 | $0.190 | $0.39 | $0 |
| Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.28 | $0.141 | $0.32 | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 3.92 | $0.056 | $0.24 | +$0.02 |
 Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 0.61 | $0.550 | $0.22 | -$0.11 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | Yes | 1.3 | $0.245 | $0.21 | -$0.11 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | Yes | 2.97 | $0.058 | $0.13 | -$0.05 |
 Will LDPR win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections? | Yes | 7 | $0.030 | $0.11 | -$0.1 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 3.43 | $0.116 | $0.09 | -$0.3 |
 Will United Russia win the next Tambov Oblast Parliament elections? | No | 10 | $0.007 | $0.09 | +$0.02 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | No | 0.18 | $0.210 | $0.08 | +$0.04 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | Yes | 3.89 | $0.012 | $0.08 | +$0.03 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.141 | $0.06 | -$0.1 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | Yes | 1.05 | $0.081 | $0.06 | -$0.03 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.55 | $0.310 | $0.05 | -$0.12 |
 Will New People win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | Yes | 6.29 | $0.030 | $0.04 | -$0.14 |
| sell |
| 1.6 |
| $0.395 |
| $0.63 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.028 | $0.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.034 | $0.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.003 | $0 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Squid FDV above $100M one day after launchNo | sell | 1 | $0.420 | $0.42 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.226 | $0.23 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.156 | $0.16 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.157 | $0.16 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.092 | $0.09 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.188 | $0.19 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.224 | $0.22 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?No | sell | 1 | $0.011 | $0.01 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.139 | $0.14 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.110 | $0.11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.160 | $0.16 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.300 | $0.3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.034 | $0.03 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.450 | $0.81 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.090 | $0.09 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.180 | $0.18 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.001 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?No | sell | 1 | $0.130 | $0.13 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.450 | $0.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.100 | $0.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.014 | $0.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.012 | $0.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.024 | $0.02 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Yes | sell | 1.3 | $0.330 | $0.43 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.227 | $0.23 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | sell | 1 | $0.230 | $0.23 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.130 | $0.13 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.001 | $0 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.044 | $0.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.039 | $0.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.048 | $0.05 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.057 | $0.06 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.057 | $0.06 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.046 | $0.05 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 1 | $0.038 | $0.04 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?No | sell | 1 | $0.120 | $0.12 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 1 | $0.014 | $0.01 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.290 | $0.29 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 1 | $0.068 | $0.07 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.117 | $0.12 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.120 | $0.12 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.169 | $0.17 | Jul 20, 2026 |