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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.923 | $5 | +$0.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Mar 1, 2026 |
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| No |
| 5 |
| $0.610 |
| $4.99 |
| +$1.94 |
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 5 | $0.472 | $4.97 | +$2.61 |
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 5 | $0.850 | $4.97 | +$0.72 |
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 5 | $0.971 | $4.87 | +$0.02 |
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat? | Yes | 5 | $0.941 | $4.81 | +$0.11 |
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 5 | $0.941 | $4.68 | -$0.02 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | No | 5 | $0.556 | $4.68 | +$1.89 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | Yes | 5 | $0.630 | $4.68 | +$1.53 |
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.952 | $4.67 | -$0.09 |
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? | No | 5 | $0.570 | $4.63 | +$1.78 |
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat? | No | 5 | $0.750 | $4.63 | +$0.88 |
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? | Yes | 5 | $0.280 | $4.63 | +$3.23 |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.740 | $4.58 | +$0.88 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.530 | $4.58 | +$1.93 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.739 | $4.33 | +$0.63 |
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.330 | $4.3 | +$2.65 |
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.820 | $4.28 | +$0.18 |
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.650 | $4.25 | +$1 |
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.560 | $4.18 | +$1.38 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 5 | $0.870 | $4.1 | -$0.25 |
Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 5 | $0.670 | $3.9 | +$0.55 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.303 | $3.88 | +$2.36 |
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.720 | $3.78 | +$0.18 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.430 | $3.68 | +$1.53 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.969 |
| $4.85 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.939 | $4.69 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 4.8 | $0.960 | $4.61 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.929 | $4.65 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 0.49 | $0.990 | $0.49 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Feb 27, 2026 |