Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.7 | $0.370 | $2.31 | +$1.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.050 | $0.28 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.37 |
| $0.730 |
| $1.29 |
| +$0.29 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.22 | $0.818 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.876 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.09 | $0.916 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.345 | $0.78 | +$0.46 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $0.71 | -$0.29 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.7 | $0.590 | $0.6 | +$0.19 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 0.55 | $0.649 | $0.37 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 1.07 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.07 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.998 | $1.09 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.999 | $20.81 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX | sell | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.999 | $1.11 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.986 | $1.02 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.999 | $1.75 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.999 | $1.33 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.090 | $0.31 | May 31, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.999 | $1.11 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | May 15, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.999 | $1.69 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | May 12, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.140 | $0.16 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.998 | $1.13 | May 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.999 | $5.25 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.999 | $0.12 | May 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.36 | $0.039 | $0.4 | May 6, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.033 | $0.05 | May 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.999 | $1.33 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.998 | $1.4 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.996 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.980 | $0.97 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.992 | $0.05 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.992 | $0.98 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | Apr 24, 2026 |