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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Blue wave in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | $0 |
 Diddy released from custody in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 84.4 | $0.999 | $84.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 25.18 |
| $0.199 |
| $4.18 |
| -$0.82 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $1.41 | -$3.59 |
| buy |
| 84.4 |
| $0.586 |
| $49.46 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.994 | $20.71 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 22.38 | $0.160 | $3.58 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | sell | 19.96 | $0.970 | $19.36 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | sell | 14.08 | $0.996 | $14.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 38.1 | $0.210 | $8 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?Yes | buy | 24.51 | $0.408 | $10 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.23 | $0.122 | $4.8 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | buy | 19.97 | $0.551 | $11 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 52.64 | $0.500 | $26.32 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 62.71 | $0.638 | $40 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 31.91 | $0.470 | $15 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 11.15 | $0.650 | $7.25 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.94 | $0.100 | $4.39 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.94 | $0.114 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETDown | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.79 | $0.284 | $9.89 | May 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.89 | $0.090 | $3.23 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 74.47 | $0.067 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Blue wave in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 7?Yes | buy | 17.74 | $0.282 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Diddy released from custody in 2026?Yes | buy | 25.18 | $0.199 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250.98 | $0.040 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 257.44 | $0.039 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.008 | $8.89 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 204.08 | $0.046 | $9.44 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |