Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 28%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 29 Jun 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 84% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 50% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 67.5% on 26 Mar 2026. $385.84K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 11:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 29 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 72.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shevcov | Yes | 6.58K |
| Mustafalafel | Yes | 1.25K |
| BegierCapital | Yes | 656.93 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/scotus-bars-counting-mail-ballots-after-election-day
| Yes |
| 632 |
| hanghangchan | Yes | 266.68 |
| xxxxMan | Yes | 217.89 |
| akko123 | Yes | 200 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Mzeldovi | Yes | 137.5 |
| Motionless-Prohibition | Yes | 110.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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