Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 715.08 | $0.699 | $654.29 | +$154.29 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 416.94 | $0.720 | $300 | May 31, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 581.4 |
| $0.860 |
| $559.59 |
| +$59.59 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 361.67 | $0.829 | $355.53 | +$55.53 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.299 | $240.05 | -$59.95 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 239.05 | $0.795 | $223.52 | +$33.52 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 430.16 | $0.465 | $208.63 | +$8.63 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 416.94 | $0.720 | $206.8 | -$93.2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 327.87 | $0.610 | $159.02 | -$40.98 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 163.93 | $0.610 | $151.64 | +$51.64 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $105.66 | +$5.66 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 107.53 | $0.930 | $103.82 | +$3.82 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 240.38 | $0.520 | $85.34 | -$39.66 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 909.09 | $0.110 | $68.18 | -$31.82 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 833.33 | $0.240 | $17.08 | -$182.92 |
| buy |
| 833.33 |
| $0.240 |
| $200 |
| May 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 715.08 | $0.699 | $500 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 581.4 | $0.860 | $500 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | May 31, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 281.69 | $0.710 | $200 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 327.87 | $0.610 | $200 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 584.8 | $0.171 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.818 | $1K | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 497.06 | $0.402 | $200 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 375 | $0.800 | $300 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?No | buy | 28.41 | $0.176 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.460 | $200 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.920 | $1K | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Yes | buy | 137.5 | $0.582 | $80 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 214.79 | $0.466 | $100 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 158.24 | $0.632 | $100 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.28K | $0.784 | $1K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?No | buy | 318.13 | $0.943 | $300 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 645.16 | $0.310 | $200 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 239.05 | $0.795 | $190 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.868 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?No | buy | 45.97 | $0.653 | $30 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 297.63 | $0.840 | $250 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 361.67 | $0.829 | $300 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 319.83 | $0.938 | $300 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?No | buy | 241.04 | $0.415 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.013 | $22 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | sell | 328.94 | $0.989 | $325.32 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1.6K | $0.992 | $1.58K | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 425.53 | $0.940 | $400 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.940 | $1.5K | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 403.55 | $0.620 | $250 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | sell | 66.2 | $0.930 | $61.57 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 148.53 | $0.780 | $115.85 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?No | sell | 134.72 | $0.940 | $126.64 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?No | sell | 287.19 | $0.964 | $276.85 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.26K | $0.430 | $971.58 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | buy | 420.85 | $0.713 | $300 | Aug 8, 2025 |