Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 5, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 5, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 5 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 66%. Yes opened at 46% on 9 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 9 May 2026 to 5 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50% on 13 May 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 28 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 45% on 12 May 2026. $3.42K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 1:05 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 9 May 2026 – 5 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 May 2026	46.0%
5 Jun 2026	34.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Amber Summit 53DA	Yes	1.17K
tinman2	Yes	999.12
Indigo Signal 2966	No	216.39
firegold	Yes	45

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm