Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 72 | $0.499 | $50.76 | +$14.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.130 | $4.94 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 40 |
| $0.130 |
| $39.94 |
| +$34.74 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 45 | $0.322 | $24.3 | +$9.79 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 77 | $0.130 | $19.87 | +$9.86 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 68.49 | $0.219 | $12.29 | -$2.71 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 177 | $0.119 | $10.62 | -$10.39 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 27 | $0.380 | $6.62 | -$3.65 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 9 | $0.431 | $4.82 | +$0.93 |
 Deel IPO before 2027? | Yes | 60 | $0.170 | $2.7 | -$7.5 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.616 | $0.31 | -$1 |
| buy |
| 33 |
| $0.150 |
| $4.95 |
| 1d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.420 | $9.66 | 6d ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 26.99 | $0.180 | $4.86 | 6d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 37.58 | $0.340 | $12.78 | 16d ago |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 20.7 | $0.221 | $4.57 | 16d ago |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | buy | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | 18d ago |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | 20d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | sell | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | 29d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 20 | $0.597 | $11.94 | 29d ago |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | sell | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 30 | $0.357 | $10.71 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 48 | $0.210 | $10.08 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.026 | $0.68 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 35 | $0.041 | $1.44 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 30 | $0.418 | $12.54 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 40 | $0.056 | $2.24 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.233 | $17.48 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Yes | buy | 9.93 | $0.121 | $1.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Yes | buy | 54.93 | $0.114 | $6.28 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No | buy | 60 | $0.322 | $19.35 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 28.88 | $0.242 | $7 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.180 | $7.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.720 | $8.64 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | sell | 8.2 | $0.031 | $0.25 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | sell | 15 | $0.032 | $0.48 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 60 | $0.272 | $16.32 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | sell | 12 | $0.330 | $3.96 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 64.61 | $0.120 | $7.75 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No | sell | 25 | $0.530 | $13.25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 120.86 | $0.213 | $25.74 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Yes | sell | 4.72 | $0.700 | $3.3 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 3.91 | $0.199 | $0.78 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.230 | $16.1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.610 | $24.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.208 | $4.99 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | sell | 175 | $0.007 | $1.23 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.847 | $1.69 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 12 | $0.850 | $10.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.989 | $5.93 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.360 | $27 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.320 | $5.12 | Jul 18, 2026 |