Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 20% on 12 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 147 daily closes on record from 12 Jan 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 30.5% on 13 May 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 9 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 10% on 4 Jun 2026. $7.86M traded over the market's life.
630 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 7:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 147 points, 12 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 20.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 332.31K |
| Courageous-Dogsled-Dial | Yes | 228.18K |
| NothingButAThang | Yes | 185.42K |
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| kdshhfskjdf | Yes | 163.87K |
| mixandmatch | Yes | 108.92K |
| yeyeyeyy | Yes | 100.94K |
| beavernikkuh | Yes | 83.33K |
| joshfraser | Yes | 70.63K |
| Bright Atlas 8A4A | Yes | 64.83K |
| Trusty-Pudding | Yes | 48.75K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
