Analytics
Yes is at 10.2%, about where the market opened on 24 Apr 2026.
Across the 181 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.2%; a month before, 8.3%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 45% on 2 May 2026.
$2.63K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $483.02, with a 12.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 107 trades, $99.29 bought Yes and $593.32 bought No.
The largest Yes position is idk. with 100 shares; the largest No position is DEGENKHAN with 249. Ten wallets hold 72.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 2:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 181 points, 24 Apr 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | 9.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 10.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DEGENKHAN | No | 248.51 |
| idk. | Yes | 100 |
| Jesetrading | No | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/diddy-released-from-custody-in-2026
| Liquid-Cartel |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 50 |
| WanderingImpulse | Yes | 47.75 |
| tradylady | No | 46 |
| Immaterial-Advantage | Yes | 40 |
| AJSV | Yes | 32.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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