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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 75.74 | $0.914 | $74 | +$4.8 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 200m by August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 43.88 |
| $0.912 |
| $41.73 |
| +$1.73 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 44.13 | $0.886 | $41.7 | +$2.6 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 47.72 | $0.629 | $41.28 | +$11.28 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 42.02 | $0.629 | $35.57 | +$9.15 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.840 | $33.39 | +$3.39 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.560 | $26.25 | +$6.25 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20.98 | +$0.98 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 21.42 | $0.933 | $20.71 | +$0.71 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | No | 21.51 | $0.930 | $19.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 19.61 | $0.510 | $17.06 | +$7.06 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.780 | $14.18 | +$2.48 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.82 | $0.780 | $11.47 | +$1.47 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? | Yes | 11.49 | $0.870 | $11.35 | +$1.35 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.780 | $11.22 | +$1.22 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.730 | $11.16 | +$1.16 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $11.01 | +$1.01 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 11.24 | $0.890 | $11.01 | +$1.01 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.52 | +$0.52 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.37 | +$0.37 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10.32 | +$0.32 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10.24 | +$0.24 |
| buy |
| 10.87 |
| $0.920 |
| $10 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 63.08 | $0.476 | $30 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.01 | $0.857 | $30 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 104.82 | $0.954 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 20.88 | $0.958 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.666 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 50.92 | $0.982 | $50 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 52.19 | $0.958 | $50 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |