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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 168.97 | $0.870 | $159.67 | +$12.67 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 150 |
| $0.863 |
| $144.23 |
| +$14.73 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.750 | $92.5 | +$17.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 65 | $0.618 | $60.78 | +$20.63 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 517.65 | $0.174 | $59.53 | -$30.47 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.730 | $30.2 | +$1 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 36 | $0.860 | $27.54 | -$3.42 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 51.5 | $0.630 | $25.49 | -$6.95 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 40 | $0.620 | $19.4 | -$5.4 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | No | 47 | $0.293 | $9.64 | -$4.13 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 23.4 | $0.470 | $9.01 | -$1.99 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 140 | $0.230 | $8.4 | -$23.8 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 200.01 | $0.130 | $6.7 | -$19.3 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 350.02 | $0.140 | $5.78 | -$43.23 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $3.85 | -$6.15 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 20 | $0.100 | $0.57 | -$1.43 |
| buy |
| 61.2 |
| $0.912 |
| $55.81 |
| May 23, 2026 |
| Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.911 | $36.43 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?Yes | buy | 208 | $0.911 | $189.49 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.004 | $0.16 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.096 | $3.84 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?No | sell | 0.74 | $0.720 | $0.53 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 421.57 | $0.770 | $324.44 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 33 | $0.570 | $18.81 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 50 | $0.758 | $37.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.420 | $10.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.669 | $40.15 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.965 | $19.3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 32.99 | $0.410 | $13.53 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 51.17 | $0.132 | $6.77 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.41 | $0.440 | $1.94 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 241.6 | $0.757 | $182.89 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown | sell | 5.9 | $0.820 | $4.84 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown | buy | 5.81 | $0.500 | $2.91 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | sell | 4.12 | $0.820 | $3.38 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | sell | 4.12 | $0.510 | $2.1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | sell | 8.24 | $0.260 | $2.14 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 16.3 | $0.300 | $4.89 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETDown | sell | 8.49 | $0.870 | $7.39 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETDown | buy | 8.37 | $0.580 | $4.85 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.95 | $0.820 | $4.06 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.7 | $0.570 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 5.98 | $0.910 | $5.44 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.972 | $485.96 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 6.57 | $0.720 | $4.73 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.570 | $11.87 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 16.39 | $0.856 | $14.03 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 317.65 | $0.170 | $54 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 51.5 | $0.640 | $32.96 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?No | sell | 30.86 | $0.997 | $30.77 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?No | sell | 61.72 | $0.930 | $57.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.029 | $4.31 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 40 | $0.730 | $29.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.965 | $482.5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.140 | $140 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.730 | $29.2 | Jan 25, 2026 |