Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 0.68 | $0.720 | $0.53 | +$0.04 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.140 | $3.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.44 |
| $0.570 |
| $0.36 |
| +$0.11 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 0.49 | $0.120 | $0.13 | +$0.08 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.26 | $0.330 | $0.01 | -$0.07 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.51 | $0.120 | $0.01 | -$0.05 |
| sell |
| 401 |
| $0.260 |
| $104.41 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?Dems | sell | 125 | $0.424 | $53.03 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?Yes | sell | 729 | $0.093 | $67.97 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.170 | $0.34 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 611 | $0.249 | $151.94 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?Dems | buy | 125.72 | $0.631 | $79.35 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?Yes | sell | 53.53 | $0.180 | $9.64 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | sell | 172 | $0.570 | $98.04 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 329.39 | $0.368 | $121.27 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | sell | 128.32 | $0.710 | $91.11 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 2.36 | $0.560 | $1.32 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?Yes | buy | 49.92 | $0.242 | $12.06 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | buy | 301 | $0.720 | $216.72 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.350 | $4.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 10.3 | $0.570 | $5.87 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.110 | $0.33 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.360 | $4.36 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 550 | $0.365 | $200.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 804 | $0.542 | $435.82 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 396.03 | $0.570 | $225.74 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.569 | $671.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.16K | $0.261 | $822.72 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.320 | $0.32 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.260 | $7.54 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.75K | $0.298 | $819.45 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 354 | $0.211 | $74.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 354.58 | $0.240 | $85.1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.26K | $0.285 | $931.75 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | sell | 4.04K | $0.233 | $939.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 112 | $0.200 | $22.4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.14K | $0.269 | $1.11K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.280 | $112 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 373 | $0.170 | $63.41 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 379 | $0.330 | $125.07 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 379 | $0.340 | $128.86 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 373 | $0.180 | $67.14 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.160 | $18.08 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 349 | $0.170 | $59.33 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 364 | $0.170 | $61.88 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |