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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 25 | $0.468 | $21.25 | +$9.55 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | 7h ago |
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| No |
| 17.17 |
| $0.397 |
| $13.82 |
| +$7 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.823 | $12.83 | +$0.48 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 25 | $0.480 | $11.38 | -$0.62 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 25 | $0.447 | $11.13 | -$0.05 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 11 | $0.809 | $10.83 | +$1.93 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.01 | $0.901 | $9.47 | +$0.45 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 25 | $0.220 | $9 | +$3.5 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.472 | $6.7 | -$2.75 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10 | $0.510 | $5.15 | +$0.05 |
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.954 | $4.91 | +$0.14 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão? | Yes | 5 | $0.992 | $4.9 | -$0.07 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.880 | $4.83 | +$0.43 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 5 | $0.725 | $4.78 | +$1.16 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.916 | $4.74 | +$0.16 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.890 | $4.73 | +$0.28 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.73 | +$0.08 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.720 | $4.68 | +$1.08 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.920 | $4.68 | +$0.08 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.68 | +$0.68 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | Yes | 25 | $0.190 | $4.63 | -$0.13 |
US recession by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.920 | $4.63 | +$0.03 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.01 | $0.691 | $4.6 | +$1.14 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 10, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | $0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.329 | $4.59 | +$1.3 |
| buy |
| 10.24 |
| $0.410 |
| $4.2 |
| 11h ago |
Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 1d ago |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.421 | $2.11 | 1d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 1d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 1d ago |
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 4d ago |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 4d ago |
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 4d ago |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.943 | $4.72 | 4d ago |
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during RNC Convention?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 4d ago |
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 4d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 4d ago |
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 4d ago |
Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 4d ago |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 4d ago |
Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | 4d ago |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 12%?Over | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 4d ago |
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 4d ago |
| buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 4d ago |
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 4d ago |
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | 4d ago |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | 4d ago |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.280 | $4.2 | 4d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 4d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 4d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.945 | $4.73 | 4d ago |
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.954 | $4.77 | 4d ago |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | 4d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 4d ago |
Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 4d ago |
Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 4d ago |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | 5d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 5d ago |
Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | 5d ago |
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Jack Pinnington JonesInaki Montes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 5d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 5d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 5d ago |
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.842 | $4.21 | 5d ago |
Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 5d ago |
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 5d ago |
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 5 | $0.798 | $3.99 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 5d ago |
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 5d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 5d ago |
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-09-04?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 5d ago |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 5d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 5d ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 5d ago |
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 12 and 13 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | 5d ago |