Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 30% or more? | No | 379 | $0.927 | $376.73 | +$25.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 96.34 | $0.210 | $20.23 | 8m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.97K |
| $0.129 |
| $356.54 |
| -$28.12 |
 Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 356.66 | $0.586 | $297.81 | +$88.95 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.93K | $0.144 | $260.51 | -$17.87 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.49K | $0.115 | $215.99 | +$44.66 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 25%-30%? | No | 101.1 | $0.912 | $99.43 | +$7.24 |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 463.5 | $0.517 | $76.48 | -$163.01 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 66 | $0.770 | $57.75 | +$6.93 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 133.21 | $0.472 | $51.95 | -$10.99 |
 Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | Yes | 625.64 | $0.109 | $50.36 | -$17.79 |
| Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 199.56 | $0.205 | $40.91 | +$0.03 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 539.91 | $0.116 | $35.09 | -$27.55 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? | Yes | 72.39 | $0.340 | $33.3 | +$8.66 |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | No | 50 | $0.690 | $33.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 15–20%? | Yes | 107.22 | $0.190 | $27.34 | +$6.97 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 200 | $0.140 | $26 | -$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 63.76 | $0.569 | $25.19 | -$11.08 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 26.99 | $0.657 | $24.7 | +$6.95 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 101.98 | $0.187 | $23.97 | +$4.87 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 185.88 | $0.126 | $23.24 | -$0.21 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 30 | $0.640 | $21.45 | +$2.25 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 86 | $0.375 | $21.07 | -$11.16 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.830 | $19.56 | +$2.96 |
 Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.858 | $19.16 | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 18.07 | $0.946 | $17.68 | +$0.58 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.230 |
| $3.45 |
| 9m ago |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | 9m ago |
| Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 103.22 | $0.200 | $20.64 | 13m ago |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.88 | $0.126 | $23.45 | 30m ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.375 | $32.23 | 1d ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | 1d ago |
 Will Karishma Manzur win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by less than 5%?No | buy | 16.38 | $0.984 | $16.11 | 1d ago |
| Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.700 | $10.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.710 | $16.33 | 1d ago |
| Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.550 | $13.75 | 1d ago |
 Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 382.42 | $0.018 | $6.86 | 1d ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 1d ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.170 | $17 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 33.21 | $0.480 | $15.94 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 43.86 | $0.550 | $24.12 | 3d ago |
| Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 107.22 | $0.190 | $20.37 | 3d ago |
| Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Yes | buy | 425.64 | $0.113 | $48.15 | 4d ago |
| Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 10–15%?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.210 | $8.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Karishma Manzur win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.020 | $0.14 | 4d ago |
| Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.106 | $2.66 | 4d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.8 | $0.012 | $0.21 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | 5d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.018 | $0.18 | 7d ago |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.450 | $13.5 | 10d ago |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.460 | $25.3 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 454.09 | $0.011 | $4.99 | 10d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 437 | $0.520 | $227.24 | 12d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.020 | $33.34 | 15d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 30% or more?No | buy | 333 | $0.930 | $309.69 | 18d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 25%-30%?No | buy | 101.1 | $0.912 | $92.19 | 18d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 30% or more?No | buy | 46 | $0.905 | $41.65 | 18d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes | buy | 101.98 | $0.187 | $19.1 | 18d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | 18d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Yes | buy | 119.57 | $0.059 | $7.05 | 18d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Yes | buy | 135.83 | $0.059 | $7.97 | 18d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Yes | buy | 8.28 | $0.049 | $0.41 | 18d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 437 | $0.292 | $127.73 | 18d ago |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | 20d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes | sell | 28.77 | $0.740 | $21.29 | 21d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 279.65 | $0.020 | $5.59 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 670.53 | $0.190 | $127.4 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 118.66 | $0.170 | $20.17 | 22d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?Yes | sell | 462.8 | $0.070 | $32.4 | 23d ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.75 | $0.090 | $9.16 | 26d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.080 | $90.72 | 26d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 25–30%?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.009 | $0.48 | 26d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 213.08 | $0.050 | $10.65 | 26d ago |