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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 71.45K | $0.359 | $38.94K | +$13.27K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BLegacy | buy | 2K | $0.420 | $840 | 13d ago |
 |
| No |
| 32.46K |
| $0.540 |
| $18.01K |
| +$493.36 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 6.76K | $0.841 | $5.73K | +$42.04 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 3.38K | $0.913 | $3.3K | +$215.33 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.5K | $0.819 | $2.14K | +$90.42 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 2K | $0.760 | $1.54K | +$20 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 2K | $0.700 | $1.37K | -$30 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.24K | $0.790 | $1.07K | +$93.11 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 704.85 | $0.930 | $666.08 | +$10.57 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 769.64 | $0.794 | $492.57 | -$118.67 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30K | $0.004 | $255 | +$135.01 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.140 | $174 | +$6 |
 Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 1K | $0.150 | $135 | -$15 |
| sell |
| 7.38 |
| $0.959 |
| $7.08 |
| 15d ago |
 Will Nvidia say "Token" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 15d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 523.85 | $0.060 | $31.33 | 15d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.753 | $376.5 | 15d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 81 | $0.739 | $59.86 | 15d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 219 | $0.748 | $163.74 | 15d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 3.5K | $0.997 | $3.49K | 15d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.629 | $62.9 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25K | $0.330 | $2.06K | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.82K | $0.330 | $4.23K | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.320 | $564.12 | 16d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.59K | $0.320 | $4.67K | 16d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30K | $0.004 | $120 | 16d ago |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION | buy | 6.94K | $0.570 | $3.96K | 17d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLegacy | buy | 2.85K | $0.325 | $924.69 | 17d ago |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 1.19K | $0.420 | $500 | 18d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 4K | $0.370 | $1.48K | 18d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 1K | $0.370 | $370 | 18d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 545.63 | $0.730 | $398.31 | 19d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.806 | $24.18 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.33 | $0.280 | $7.65 | 22d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.940 | $1.07K | 29d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.910 | $1.37K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.840 | $33.59 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.981 | $98.1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 158.53 | $0.936 | $148.44 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.800 | $2.37K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 4.44K | $0.977 | $4.34K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 377.55 | $0.850 | $320.92 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 558.95 | $0.850 | $475.11 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.24K | $0.860 | $1.93K | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | buy | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 666.76 | $0.700 | $466.73 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 323.38 | $0.479 | $154.77 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 26.4 | $0.480 | $12.68 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 466.01 | $0.530 | $246.99 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 409.92 | $0.540 | $221.36 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.790 | $980.76 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.837 | $585.7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 6.61 | $0.840 | $5.55 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.630 | $315 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.700 | $786.72 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 205.42 | $0.340 | $69.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 848.46 | $0.330 | $279.99 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 105 | $0.310 | $32.55 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.710 | $1.04K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 633 | $0.355 | $224.71 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.388 | $425.47 | Jul 29, 2026 |