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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 80.3 | $0.729 | $66.25 | +$7.74 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | 16d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.480 |
| $59 |
| -$37 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 100 | $0.470 | $50.5 | +$3.5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 50 | $0.820 | $49.98 | +$8.98 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 49.99 | $0.680 | $49.12 | +$15.12 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 249.98 | $0.230 | $33.75 | -$23.75 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.430 | $20.75 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.500 |
| $50 |
| 16d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.740 | $48.1 | 24d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | 24d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.630 | $189 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.660 | $330 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 184.64 | $0.600 | $110.78 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 261.52 | $0.510 | $133.38 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | May 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | May 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 231.74 | $0.810 | $187.71 | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 500 | $0.992 | $496 | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 19 | $0.800 | $15.2 | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 400 | $0.650 | $260 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.850 | $425 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 700 | $0.710 | $497 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.993 | $1.24K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 88.5 | $0.630 | $55.76 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 21.04 | $0.670 | $14.1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 300.02 | $0.640 | $192.01 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 198 | $0.066 | $13.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.820 | $821.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.840 | $126 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.640 | $160 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.670 | $335 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 100 | $0.667 | $66.7 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?No | buy | 131.26 | $0.949 | $124.57 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 293.19 | $0.955 | $280 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 49.98 | $0.470 | $23.49 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Virginia vs. CaliforniaVirginia | sell | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.060 | $3 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.070 | $24.5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Virginia vs. CaliforniaVirginia | buy | 15 | $0.680 | $10.2 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Spread: Texas (-3.5)Texas | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.620 | $310 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes | sell | 146 | $0.044 | $6.42 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.949 | $47.45 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.961 | $192.2 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.944 | $47.18 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.969 | $48.45 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.290 | $8.12 | Oct 24, 2025 |