Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 32.26 | $0.310 | $27.58 | +$17.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?No | buy | 175.43 | $0.058 | $10.22 | 16h ago |
 |
| No |
| 87.71 |
| $0.116 |
| $22.28 |
| +$12.15 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 52.63 | $0.190 | $20.79 | +$10.79 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | No | 29.41 | $0.340 | $20.44 | +$10.44 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.18 | $0.550 | $16.45 | +$6.45 |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? | No | 16.94 | $0.593 | $15.16 | +$5.12 |
 SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? | No | 16.12 | $0.620 | $15.15 | +$5.16 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | No | 19.6 | $0.510 | $14.41 | +$4.41 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 18.18 | $0.550 | $14.09 | +$4.09 |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | No | 15.62 | $0.640 | $13.59 | +$3.59 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 16.94 | $0.590 | $13.04 | +$3.05 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | No | 15.38 | $0.650 | $12.3 | +$2.31 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 17.85 | $0.560 | $12.23 | +$2.23 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 17 | $0.570 | $12.07 | +$2.38 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.62 | $0.640 | $11.01 | +$1.02 |
 Lula participates in debate before first round? | No | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10.96 | +$0.96 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | No | 17.85 | $0.560 | $10.44 | +$0.45 |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | No | 16.66 | $0.600 | $10.41 | +$0.42 |
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | No | 111.11 | $0.090 | $8.89 | -$1.11 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 33.33 | $0.300 | $8.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 232.55 | $0.043 | $7.91 | -$2.09 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | No | 38.46 | $0.260 | $7.69 | -$2.31 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | No | 17.85 | $0.560 | $7.68 | -$2.32 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | No | 15.97 | $0.626 | $7.2 | -$2.79 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 21.27 | $0.470 | $6.7 | -$3.3 |
| buy |
| 29.41 |
| $0.340 |
| $10 |
| 2d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 15.97 | $0.626 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?No | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | 3d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | buy | 19.6 | $0.510 | $10 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.632 | $10.03 | 4d ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 18.51 | $0.540 | $10 | 5d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.032 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.007 | $0.54 | 5d ago |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.640 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.139 | $10.67 | 7d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 87.71 | $0.116 | $10.13 | 7d ago |
 Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?No | buy | 16.66 | $0.600 | $10 | 8d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?No | buy | 97.08 | $0.104 | $10.06 | 8d ago |
| SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.12 | $0.620 | $9.99 | 8d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | sell | 3.2 | $0.580 | $1.86 | 9d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 16.94 | $0.590 | $9.99 | 9d ago |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?No | buy | 33.52 | $0.090 | $3.02 | 9d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?No | buy | 17.85 | $0.560 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Lula participates in debate before first round?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | buy | 17.85 | $0.560 | $10 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 166.66 | $0.060 | $10 | 15d ago |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 63.93 | $0.070 | $4.48 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?No | buy | 16.94 | $0.593 | $10.04 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.640 | $10 | 16d ago |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.83 | $0.594 | $10 | 20d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | buy | 16.66 | $0.600 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 21.27 | $0.470 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | 27d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 23.8 | $0.425 | $10.12 | 28d ago |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 19.6 | $0.510 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.625 | $10 | 29d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 16.94 | $0.920 | $15.58 | 29d ago |
 Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 23.25 | $0.430 | $10 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No | buy | 17.85 | $0.560 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 23.25 | $0.430 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?No | buy | 232.55 | $0.044 | $10.29 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 20.4 | $0.490 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.12 | $0.629 | $10.14 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 232.55 | $0.043 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 16.94 | $0.590 | $9.99 | Aug 2, 2026 |