Latest trade
Sep 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:25 PM UTC.
Analytics
luckysplit is down $1.03K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:25 PM UTC.
$4.25 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 28 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Mar 23, 2026 UTC to Sep 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 178.27 | $0.788 | $178 | +$37.5 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.045 | $1.8 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-14 02:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
25 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 23:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 23:25 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-14 02:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.12K and losing ones cost $3.01K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $737.8 on “Will the government shutdown end November 13?” (Yes); the largest loss, $640.25 on “Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?” (Yes).
It first traded on 22 Oct 2025 and most recently on 14 Sep 2026. It has traded 1,015 markets. Its open positions are worth $701.55 across 25 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 300.01 |
| $0.675 |
| $129 |
| -$73.5 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $95.2 | +$12.2 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | No | 536.54 | $0.270 | $83.16 | -$61.75 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.450 | $69 | -$21 |
 Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.900 | $47.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250 | $0.180 | $28.75 | -$16.35 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 144.4 | $0.150 | $18.77 | -$2.89 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.320 | $10.5 | -$21.5 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.079 | $9.7 | +$1.8 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.620 | $7.9 | +$1.7 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.360 | $6.8 | -$7.6 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 173.85 | $0.184 | $4.17 | -$27.82 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.560 | $3.25 | -$24.75 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | $0 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50 | $0.023 | $1.72 | +$0.57 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 30 | $0.035 | $1.5 | +$0.45 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $1.35 | -$5.65 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40 | $0.028 | $0.82 | -$0.3 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.170 | $0.32 | -$1.38 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.230 | $0.25 | -$22.75 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.150 | $0.15 | -$14.85 |
 Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.090 | $0.1 | -$17.9 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $0.1 | -$13.9 |
| sell |
| 199.97 |
| $0.934 |
| $186.79 |
| Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Women's Sports" during National Agriculture Day events?No | buy | 52 | $0.570 | $29.64 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" during National Agriculture Day events?No | buy | 52 | $0.510 | $26.52 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.063 | $1.11 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.45 | $0.063 | $0.15 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.460 | $23.46 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be at least 1625 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.49 | $0.450 | $4.27 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 0.51 | $0.450 | $0.23 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 0.77 | $0.360 | $0.28 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.23 | $0.360 | $3.32 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.460 | $8.92 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 10.18 | $0.870 | $8.86 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.82 | $0.870 | $8.54 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.540 | $5.23 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.093 | $9.3 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 13.17 | $0.460 | $6.06 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 6.83 | $0.460 | $3.14 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 19.39 | $0.440 | $8.53 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown | sell | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 19.39 | $0.450 | $8.72 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 11.85 | $0.530 | $6.28 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 8.14 | $0.530 | $4.31 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.71 | $0.400 | $3.88 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.76 | $0.319 | $3.11 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 19.78 | $0.820 | $16.22 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 9.72 | $0.390 | $3.79 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.74 | $0.460 | $0.8 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 8.26 | $0.460 | $3.8 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.89 | $0.460 | $0.87 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.11 | $0.460 | $1.43 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.93 | $0.350 | $7.68 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.07 | $0.350 | $2.82 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 0.81 | $0.460 | $0.37 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.19 | $0.460 | $4.23 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 8.42 | $0.650 | $5.47 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.