Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 199.97 | $0.017 | $185.87 | +$182.47 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 178.27 |
| $0.788 |
| $176.04 |
| +$35.54 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | No | 300.01 | $0.675 | $175.5 | -$27 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | No | 536.54 | $0.270 | $109.99 | -$34.92 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $87.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.450 | $77 | -$13 |
 Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.900 | $46.48 | +$1.48 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 144.4 | $0.150 | $33.93 | +$12.27 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250 | $0.180 | $17.88 | -$27.23 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.320 | $12.5 | -$19.5 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.360 | $10.2 | -$4.2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.079 | $9.35 | +$1.45 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.620 | $7.65 | +$1.45 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.720 | $7.63 | +$0.43 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $5.8 | -$1.2 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 173.85 | $0.184 | $4.87 | -$27.12 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.560 | $3.25 | -$24.75 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.025 | $2.35 | -$0.15 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 30 | $0.035 | $1.92 | +$0.87 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.140 | $1.54 | -$4.06 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50 | $0.023 | $1.32 | +$0.17 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40 | $0.028 | $0.62 | -$0.5 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.170 | $0.6 | -$1.1 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.230 | $0.35 | -$22.65 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.870 |
| $87 |
| Mar 24, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.460 | $8.92 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.540 | $5.23 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 19.39 | $0.440 | $8.53 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown | sell | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 19.39 | $0.450 | $8.72 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.71 | $0.400 | $3.88 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.76 | $0.319 | $3.11 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 19.78 | $0.820 | $16.22 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 9.72 | $0.390 | $3.79 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.07 | $0.350 | $2.82 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETUp | buy | 65.01 | $0.002 | $0.13 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.54 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.444 | $4.44 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.510 | $4.94 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.888 | $44.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 142.7 | $0.110 | $15.67 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Blue wave in 2026?No | sell | 169.43 | $0.171 | $29.02 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.524 | $52.34 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 27.12 | $0.093 | $2.52 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?No | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.198 | $9.9 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.009 | $0.09 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 75.04 | $0.084 | $6.3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.067 | $3.35 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.186 | $4.09 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.97 | $0.320 | $11.83 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 155.84 | $0.013 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.174 | $26.1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?No | buy | 45 | $0.890 | $40.05 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 735.04 | $0.013 | $9.54 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Aliens are Real" in March?No | buy | 10 | $0.947 | $9.47 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?No | buy | 80 | $0.890 | $71.2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Mar 14, 2026 |