Analytics
Yes is at 5.3%, down 35 points from 40% when the market opened on 27 Nov 2025.
Across the 309 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.1% on 16 Jun 2026 and the lowest 4% on 28 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.4%; a month before, 9.3%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 50.1% on 16 Jun 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$172.63 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.87K since listing. The order book holds $1.14K, with a 2.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 199 trades, $82.31 bought Yes and $2.96K bought No.
The largest Yes position is cyfra with 182 shares; the largest No position is nastynian with 134. Ten wallets hold 84.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 309 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 40.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cyfra | Yes | 182.4 |
| nastynian | No | 133.7 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 120.21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Makina's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Makina doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/makina-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| wea |
| No |
| 106.55 |
| tamaraaa | No | 105.26 |
| luckysplit | No | 50 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 35 |
| pppnn | No | 33.16 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 30 |
| readyornothere | Yes | 29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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