Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 5 Feb 2026 to 25 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 54.5% on 5 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 99% on 6 Mar 2026.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 26, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 5 Feb 2026 – 25 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 54.5% |
| 25 Mar 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rousseauuu | No | 12.91K |
| luckysplit | No | 3.48K |
| cobble | No | 186.76 |
| S888 | No | 180 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-cabinet-member-out-by-685
| Hinshaw | No | 100 |
| fang1957 | No | 80 |
| ACara | No | 65.05 |
| Ardtysrt01 | No | 38.03 |
| Irresponsible-Sari | No | 26.64 |
| dsoisoij | No | 25.39 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
