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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.330 | $4.27 | +$2.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.110 | $0.11 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.85 |
| $0.230 |
| $2.61 |
| +$1.95 |
 Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.82 | $0.051 | $1.53 | +$1.44 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | No | 1.61 | $0.380 | $1.4 | +$0.79 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? | Yes | 4 | $0.105 | $0.6 | +$0.18 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 0.98 | $0.470 | $0.59 | +$0.13 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | Yes | 2.35 | $0.200 | $0.52 | +$0.05 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | Yes | 15 | $0.009 | $0.5 | +$0.36 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.5 | $0.320 | $0.47 | +$0.31 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.270 | $0.45 | +$0.08 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.400 | $0.39 | -$0.07 |
 Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.240 | $0.33 | -$0.47 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31? | Yes | 2.96 | $0.350 | $0.31 | -$0.73 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? | Yes | 12.93 | $0.026 | $0.29 | -$0.05 |
 Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | Yes | 7.42 | $0.111 | $0.24 | -$0.59 |
 Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 3.22 | $0.067 | $0.21 | -$0.01 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.290 | $0.17 | -$0.2 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | Yes | 0.38 | $0.390 | $0.15 | $0 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.67 | $0.510 | $0.15 | -$1.21 |
 Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 2.24 | $0.252 | $0.15 | -$0.42 |
 Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.15 | $0.174 | $0.14 | -$0.06 |
 No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | No | 0.14 | $0.520 | $0.13 | +$0.05 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? | Yes | 0.67 | $0.310 | $0.11 | -$0.09 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.22 | $0.390 | $0.09 | +$0 |
 Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.016 | $0.08 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.014 |
| $0.01 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.016 | $0.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.045 | $0.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.048 | $0.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.062 | $0.06 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.080 | $0.08 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.013 | $0.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.032 | $0.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.101 | $0.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.226 | $0.23 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.130 | $0.13 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.070 | $0.07 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.314 | $0.35 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.068 | $0.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.080 | $0.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.080 | $0.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.130 | $0.13 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.111 | $0.11 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.109 | $0.11 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.152 | $0.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.240 | $0.24 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.200 | $0.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.221 | $0.22 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.028 | $0.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.025 | $0.03 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.121 | $0.12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.130 | $0.13 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.376 | $0.68 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?No | sell | 1 | $0.320 | $0.32 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.380 | $0.38 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?No | sell | 1 | $0.250 | $0.25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.066 | $0.07 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1 | $0.230 | $0.23 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.240 | $0.24 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.049 | $0.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.048 | $0.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.043 | $0.04 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.033 | $0.03 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.032 | $0.03 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.023 | $0.02 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.026 | $0.03 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.023 | $0.02 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.040 | $0.04 | Jul 28, 2026 |