Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | No | 47.19 | $0.290 | $17.69 | +$4.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.300 |
| $14.25 |
| -$0.75 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.300 | $11.25 | -$3.75 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.145 | $10.75 | +$3.51 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | No | 38.78 | $0.210 | $10.28 | +$2.13 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 50 | $0.240 | $10.25 | -$1.75 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | No | 48 | $0.300 | $9.84 | -$4.56 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 50 | $0.230 | $9.5 | -$2 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 50 | $0.220 | $9.25 | -$1.75 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.280 | $9 | -$5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.230 | $8.75 | -$2.75 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.270 | $8.25 | -$5.25 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.290 | $8.25 | -$6.25 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | No | 50 | $0.229 | $8.25 | -$3.2 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.169 | $7.3 | -$1.17 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | No | 50 | $0.140 | $7.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat? | No | 45 | $0.300 | $7.2 | -$6.3 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.230 | $6.75 | -$4.75 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.250 | $5.85 | -$1.65 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.130 | $5.75 | -$0.75 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.290 | $5.5 | -$9 |
 Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 37.9 | $0.110 | $5.5 | +$1.33 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 30 | $0.299 | $5.03 | -$3.94 |
 Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election? | No | 50 | $0.190 | $5 | -$4.5 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | No | 15 | $0.290 | $4.8 | +$0.45 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.300 |
| $3 |
| 7h ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 8h ago |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 9h ago |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?No | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | 11h ago |
 Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 12h ago |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 12h ago |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 12h ago |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?No | sell | 10 | $0.015 | $0.15 | 12h ago |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.195 | $1.95 | 21h ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.250 | $0.4 | 21h ago |
 Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 1d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.280 | $1.96 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?No | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 1d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 1d ago |
 Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
 Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.297 | $2.97 | 1d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
 Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?No | sell | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | 2d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?No | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 2d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 2d ago |
 Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 3d ago |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?No | sell | 24.68 | $0.010 | $0.25 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 4d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?No | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | 4d ago |
 Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?No | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | 4d ago |
 Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 4d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?No | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 5d ago |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 5d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 5d ago |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 5d ago |
 Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 5d ago |
| Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?No | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | 6d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.012 | $0.12 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | 6d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 7d ago |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | 7d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | 7d ago |